NCAA Football

Bowl Predictions 2014: Updated College Playoff Projections Before Week 14

We are in unprecedented territory in college football, and the initial College Football Playoff is the overarching storyline hovering over every single game.

Questions about style points, strength of schedule, quality losses, the value of conference championships and more have framed the overall discussion about where teams should be ranked and when they should make a jump or take a fall. 

Now all that is left for playoff contenders is winning one or two more games before the real campaigning begins. With that in mind, read on for a look at the latest playoff projections from StatMilk, the updated national championship chances from Odds Shark and my own playoff picks before digging a bit deeper into the latest poll release.

(Note: As the table header indicates, the logo shown at the far right of each team's row is for that team's next opponent and not for the ranked team itself.)


StatMilk and Odds Shark Playoff Projections and Odds

*Odds to win national championship courtesy of Odds Shark, as of Wednesday morning at 10 a.m. ET.


Scott Polacek Playoff Projections

Sugar Bowl: No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Ohio State

Rose Bowl: No. 2 Florida State vs. No. 3 Oregon   

Championship Bowl (in Arlington, Texas): TBD (semifinal winners)


Poll Breakdown

The new College Football Playoff poll was released on Tuesday, and the top seven remained unchanged.

One thing is abundantly clear, though. Alabama, Florida State and Oregon are all heading to the playoffs if they win their remaining games. It is also fairly clear that the Ducks and Seminoles are going to play each other in the semifinals in that scenario because the Crimson Tide aren’t giving up their death grip on that No. 1 seed if they win the SEC.

There was an important development lower in the poll when Ole Miss dropped all the way to No. 19. The Rebels are out of the playoff race, but they represent Mississippi State’s final opponent and a chance at securing a marquee win.

However, teams like Kansas State (No. 12), Michigan State (No. 10), Wisconsin (No. 14) and even Minnesota (No. 18) continue to rise in the rankings, which bolsters the chances of the other contenders for the No. 4 seed.

Kansas State is the carrot dangling at the end of the Baylor schedule, Michigan State is Ohio State’s best win (the argument can be made that is the best win for anyone in the country considering it came on the road at night by a multi-score margin) and Minnesota lost to both TCU and Ohio State.

What’s more, Wisconsin and Minnesota are even more important because one of those teams will be Ohio State’s opponent in the Big Ten Championship Game.

Meanwhile, Mississippi State will be left on the outside looking in at the SEC Championship Game, and that final potential win over Ole Miss will not look nearly as good as it would have earlier in the season. The Rebels have lost three SEC games, and that would mark four in this hypothetical.

To make matters worse, other marquee Mississippi State wins like Auburn (No. 15 now and will be lower after it loses to Alabama) and LSU (unranked) have lost much of their steam. In fact, both Tigers teams have lost their last four combined SEC games.

Despite the current No. 4 position, Mississippi State could be in the worst spot of all the contenders except TCU since the Buckeyes have the chance to be Big Ten outright champs, and the Bears have that game with Kansas State on the horizon and the head-to-head win over the Horned Frogs in their back pocket.

Future projections are more important than the current polls, and Jeff Long (chairman of the selection committee) hinted at that, via Ben Axelrod of Bleacher Report: "We try not to look into the future, but we've always said that championships won on selection weekend will have an impact. It will certainly add to [Ohio State's] body of work if they have that Big Ten championship."

Something else to watch out for on the bottom of the poll is the race between Marshall (No. 24) and Boise State (No. 23) for the designation as the highest-ranked team outside of the Power Five conferences. There is an automatic bid into a selection committee bowl game waiting for the highest one at end of season, and the two-loss Broncos are in an ideal spot.

Boise State lost to Air Force and Ole Miss but has been rewarded for playing a more difficult schedule than the undefeated Thundering Herd.

Another interesting development in the poll is the status of UCLA as the playoff dark horse. The Bruins are No. 8 and the highest-ranked of the two-loss teams, largely because of their schedule, as ESPN Stats & Info noted:

If the Bruins win out, that would mean a monster victory over Oregon in the Pac-12 title game. Depending on what happens with the rest of the one-loss squads, the Bruins could position themselves nicely for a playoff spot with wins over Oregon, USC, Arizona and Arizona State, and the boost that comes with being a major conference champion. 

It is not that difficult to envision a Kansas State win over Baylor, a Wisconsin win over Ohio State or even a Georgia Tech win over Florida State. If any of that happened, the playoffs could have a Los Angeles flavor at the end of the season.


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Oregon vs. Oregon State: 2014 Civil War TV Info, Spread, Injury Updates and Time

The 2014 Civil War between the Oregon Ducks and Oregon State Beavers in Corvallis Saturday does not look like much on paper.

Then again, neither did the same showdown with a similar outlook one year ago. There, the Beavers lost by just one point on a touchdown pass from Ducks quarterback Marcus Mariota with less than a minute left in regulation.

Still, the 10-1 Ducks are playing the best football of their season and want to rest up before the Pac-12 title game. The 5-6 Beavers are dangerous at home thanks to an explosive offense, though, so anything can and likely will happen once the two step on the field.


Aerial Warfare

The globe knows about Mariota but perhaps not so much when it comes to Oregon State senior quarterback Sean Mannion.

As Lindsay Schnell of breaks down, Saturday will be the most prolific quarterback duel in Civil War history:

Mariota and Mannion are both dramatically different and surprisingly similar. Mariota is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country, a player lauded for his ability to keep drives alive and torch defenses with his legs. Mannion, a coach’s son praised for his football IQ and accuracy, is built for pro-style offenses.

Mannion leads the 24th-ranked passing attack in the nation this year. His 3,002 yards and 14 touchdowns to eight interceptions come by way of a 63.5 completion percentage.

Yet that still somehow pales in comparison to Mariota, who has completed 68.0 percent of his passes for 3,103 yards and 32 touchdowns to just two interceptions this year. Sprinkle in 597 rushing yards and nine scores, and it is easy to see why Heisman chatter continues to center on him.

Believe it or not, though, this is the exact game the Beavers want to play.

Mannion is certainly talented enough to enough to take advantage of wobbly pass defenses. The Ducks certainly qualify, ranking No. 117 in the nation against the pass this season.

Now, Oregon has yet to encounter a quarterback who can actually make this matter.

But for comparison's sake, the Ducks got a 42-30 win over UCLA back in mid-October, while allowing Bruins signal-caller Brett Hundley (who leads the 27th-ranked passing attack) to throw for 216 yards and a pair of scores. 

Mannion is certainly capable of similar production, especially at home. If the Ducks defense does not come prepared, this Civil War will prove to be much closer than anticipated.


Fast Out the Gates

Oregon wants this game to go away quickly.

No—it needs it to get out of hand fast.

All of the potential opponents for the Ducks in the Pac-12 championship play the day before Mariota and Co. take the field in Corvallis, meaning the opposition will have the upper hand when it comes to preparation.

Getting out to an early lead means allowing freshman back Royce Freeman (1,050 yards, 16 touchdowns) to pound the rock and eat the clock. 

Really, it also means a team that has lost a number of players such as Pharaoh Brown, Hroniss Grasu and Tyler Johnstone, to name a few, can increase the odds it stays healthy if the starters are hanging out on the sidelines while the backups nurse a lead.

Oregon's lone hiccup this season came against Arizona, a team that was able to grab the lead after the first frame and keep the game close before pulling away.

Should the Ducks provide Mannion and Co. that same comfort, there is no telling what the Beavers and a top-flight passing attack can do at home to spoil Oregon's season.


When: Saturday, November 29, 8 p.m. ET

Where: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Oregon

Television: ABC

Betting Lines (via Odds Shark):

  • Over/Under: 67
  • Spread: Oregon (-20)


Team Injury Reports

Injury reports per The Sports Network, via USA Today.



Sometimes games just play out as the numbers say they will. 

That should be the case for the 2014 Civil War. The Ducks are simply too hot at the right time to falter in a trap game against a rival. This is not the same Oregon team that has crumbled with pressure on its shoulders in the past.

Mariota and Co. conquered Stanford. Then took down ranked Utah. Do not forget wins over Michigan State and UCLA, either. The Ducks are going to jump out early, neutralize the crowd and set sights on the title game.

Prediction: Ducks 40, Beavers 28


Statistics and info courtesy of ESPN unless otherwise specified.


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Auburn vs. Alabama: 2014 Iron Bowl TV Info, Spread, Injury Updates, Game Time

The focal point of the Iron Bowl hinges around last year's shocking final moments, but it should be on an Auburn team with nothing to lose and an Alabama team on the hunt for revenge and placement in the College Football Playoff.

Chris Davis single-handedly took things into his own hands last year, which makes this year's rematch in Tuscaloosa the most-anticipated game of the year.

At 8-3, Auburn is not riding the wave of momentum most would have figured going into a game that has seen each of its past five winners play for the national championship. Alabama has not lost since early October, suggesting that two teams headed in different directions will birth a predictable outcome.

If only it were that easy.


Dual Threats

Auburn quarterback Nick Marshall knows what it takes to upend the Crimson Tide.

Marshall is an elite dual-threat quarterback under center, the exact thing that tends to give Nick Saban-directed defenses fits. This year the senior has 1,859 yards and 15 scores through the air, with another 731 yards and 11 scores on the ground.

Last year he accounted for three total scores in the victory. As Bleacher Report's Marc Torrence captures, Saban is well aware that the versatility of Gus Malzahn's offense means his unit needs to play assignment-based football just about perfectly Saturday:

What makes Marshall even more dangerous is the fact senior back Cameron Artis-Payne (1,405 yards, 11 touchdowns) could break free at any moment for a big gain, too.

But just as Marshall can hurt the Crimson Tide in a number of ways, so too can Blake Sims damage the Tigers.

Saturday is Blake Sims' first foray into the historic rivalry, but as his 2,676 yards and 20 touchdowns through the air and 279 yards and five scores on the ground display, the senior can and will keep the Tigers honest.

"The quarterback doesn't carry it a whole lot, but when he does he's a threat to go the whole way," Auburn defensive coordinator Ellis Johnson said, per The Associated Press, via "He's big and fast. He can get the ball outside, whereas that was a play you didn't really worry about (in the past)."

Alabama has averaged 35.0 points per game behind the arms and legs of Sims this season, but the unit has come back down to Earth against top-tier SEC opposition. Sims and Co. did not score more than 25 points in matchups with Ole Miss, Mississippi State and LSU.

With that in mind, Marshall wants this to be a track meet. Whether he gets it may very well be up to his shaky defense.


Halting the Regression

Through the first five games of the season, a strong defense was one of the main reasons many were ready to consider the Tigers serious threats for the CFP.

Then it all fell apart.

The Tigers have allowed a minimum of 31 points in each of their last five SEC games, three of which have wound up as losses. So while many will point out that the team ranks second in red-zone defense in the conference, it means little in the grand scheme of things.

Especially against this Alabama offense that is so much more than just Sims. Backs T.J. Yeldon and Derrick Henry both average better than 5.0 yards per carry. Wideout Amari Cooper might just take home the Heisman and has 1,349 yards and 11 touchdowns on the season.

As James Crepea of The Montgomery Advertiser captures, Auburn is well aware of the challenge ahead:

The last time Auburn faced a run-first attack akin to Alabama's, it allowed 289 rushing yards and three scores on the ground in a 34-7 loss to Georgia just two games ago.

If there is not a dramatic turnaround, this one may get ugly on the road.


When: Saturday, November 29, 7:45 p.m. ET

Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Television: ESPN

Betting Lines (via Odds Shark):

  • Over/Under: 54
  • Spread: Alabama (-9.5)


Team Injury Reports

Injury reports per The Sports Network, via USA Today.



At this very moment, Alabama is just too good.

The Crimson Tide have grown up before the eyes of the globe as this season has progressed. Meanwhile, Auburn has swung in the other direction mostly thanks to a defense that simply cannot hold up in the face of top-tier opposition.

Malzahn's offense will give the Crimson Tide plenty of problems, but that being a deciding factor hinges on the defense actually getting enough meaningful stops.

Against this Crimson Tide team, another miracle is a must for Auburn on the road.

Prediction: Crimson Tide 28, Tigers 24


Statistics and info courtesy of ESPN unless otherwise specified.


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Oregon vs. Oregon State: 2014 Civil War TV Info, Spread, Injury Updates and Time

The 2014 Civil War between the Oregon Ducks and Oregon State Beavers in Corvallis Saturday does not look like much on paper. Then again, neither did the same showdown with a similar outlook one year ago...

Read the full article on Bleacher Report...

Pac-12 Football: Each Team's Best Prospect for the 2015 NFL Draft

For the next month and a half, all of the focus on the Pac-12 will revolve around rivalry weekend, the conference title game and bowl season. But merely hours after the national champion is decided, that focus will switch to the NFL draft, where the Pac-12 will have a chance to shine brighter than ever.

Every team in the league has players who could go on to star at the next level. It's no coincidence that the current standings reflect which teams will likely have the most players selected and moving on to play in the pros.

There are a couple of ways to look at the best prospects. You could go simply by draft positioning and think of it in terms of who will get picked the highest. You might also consider who will turn out to be the best pro regardless of what round he's picked in, and sometimes the two schools of thought have no correlation.

Using both of those as guidelines, let's take a look at every Pac-12 team's best prospect for the 2015 NFL draft.

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Pac-12 Football: Each Team's Best Prospect for the 2015 NFL Draft

For the next month and a half, all of the focus on the Pac-12 will revolve around rivalry weekend, the conference title game and bowl season...

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Ranking Best Games in Michigan-Ohio State Rivalry

Michigan vs. Ohio State has been called the greatest rivalry in sports, and the teams are meeting for the 97th straight year and 111th time overall. Michigan leads the series (58-46-6), but Ohio State has been on a roll, winning 11 of the last 13 meetings.

“The Game” has been marked by remarkable performances, surprising upsets and great competition. Both teams recruit many of the same players, and those who leave their home state to play for the other team often draw the ire of both family and friends.

The teams even refuse to use the given names of their respective institutions. Michigan is “that school up north,” and Ohio State is simply referred to as “Ohio.”

Here are some of the greatest games in the history of the rivalry.

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UCLA Football: How the Bruins Must Attack Stanford's Tough Defense

This upcoming Friday, Jim Mora and the UCLA football team will look to exorcise the proverbial demons as they host the Stanford Cardinal. 

Mora has yet to defeat Stanford during his time in Westwood. The Cardinal's staunch defense has made life very difficult for Brett Hundley and company. 

In the latest installment, the Bruins hope to put up points on the No. 6 defense in the entire country. 

This piece will cover three strategic aspects which will help UCLA to victory. 

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UCLA Football: How the Bruins Must Attack Stanford's Tough Defense

This upcoming Friday, Jim Mora and the UCLA football team will look to exorcise the proverbial demons as they host the Stanford Cardinal. Mora has yet to defeat Stanford during his time in Westwood...

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Kynon's Korner: Nation's Hottest WR Recaps Wake OV and Previews Ohio State Trip

Last weekend, 3-star wideout Lawrence Cager took an official visit to Winston-Salem, North Carolina, for the Wake Forest-Virginia Tech tilt. The game was a defensive slugfest, as neither team scored in regulation. The Demon Deacons eventually topped the Hokies 6-3 in double overtime. 

It's safe to say Wake's offense was more Demon than Deacon. What were Cager's thoughts on the visit? 

"It was a great visit to a great school," explained Cager. "The players are great, and the coaches are good." 

A week ago, Cager raved about his trip to Tuscaloosa for the Alabama-Mississippi State game. Cager told Bleacher Report, "I rate the visit a 10." He later added how impressed he was with Alabama quarterback Blake Sims for watching his highlight tape prior to his arrival. 

This weekend, Cager is off to Columbus for the Ohio State-Michigan game. Although the contest has lost some of its luster on paper, it's still a marquee rivalry game that attracts top recruits. The Buckeyes will look to wow Cager the same way the Crimson Tide did two weeks ago. The Ohio State staff has made Cager a priority, and it starts with head coach Urban Meyer

"My relationship with Coach Meyer is a good one," stated Cager. "I talk to him like once a week, even though my primary recruiter is Larry Johnson."

Meyer is one of the best closers in college football. When he locks in on a recruit, there is a good chance he gets his signature come signing day.

The Buckeyes offense has been on a roll since the September game against Virginia Tech. Quarterback J.T. Barrett set the Ohio State single-season record for total yards and passing touchdowns.

When asked about Barrett's play, Cager simply responded, "J.T. is a beast."

The 6'5", 205-pound receiver will get to see the redshirt freshman up close Saturday, and he could be catching passes from him next season if all goes well for Meyer and Co. when Cager announces at the U.S. Army All-American Bowl in January 2015.


Pair of 2016 Stars Scheduled For Iron Bowl

Alabama will welcome a slew of prospects to Tuscaloosa for the Iron Bowl this Saturday. Cornerback John Broussard and Crimson Tide commit Demetris Robertson have confirmed to Bleacher Report that they will be in attendance for the annual SEC clash. 

This will be Robertson's first game-day action, and the committed target is looking forward to getting on campus. "I've been waiting to get back to T-Town to see coach [Nick] Saban and coach [Kirby] Smart and the other guys," said an excited Robertson.

Florida State and Georgia hosted Robertson earlier this season. The Tide will likely show him the red-carpet treatment. 

According to Broussard, the schools coming after him the hardest are Auburn, Georgia, Kentucky and LSU. Alabama has shown interest, and he went to the Tide's game against the Aggies earlier this fall. Auburn and Alabama are definitely in the mix.

When asked about the Yellowhammer State affair and where he stands with each program, Broussard said, "Yes sir, I'm going to the game. I'm not really sure who will win. Bama hasn't offered me yet, but Auburn has. At Auburn, it's the atmosphere, my relationships with the coaches, and it's just a great place. I get a lot of love when I go there."

The 247Sports Crystal Ball is trending toward Auburn for Broussard. However, if Alabama offers, the Tide could move up to the top spot, setting the stage for another heated recruiting battle for one of the state's top prospects. 


4-star WR Set For Return Visit To Tallahassee

St. Petersburg (Florida) Lakewood flanker Ryan Davis will be in Tallahassee for the Florida State-Florida game. Davis is considering both schools, but he said he will be neutral this weekend.

Last month, he attended the Florida State-Notre Dame thriller, and this matchup should include the same excitement despite Florida's 6-4 record. Many players on each roster have played together since high school or earlier.

The 4-star athlete has seen his recruitment heat up over the last couple of weeks. Alabama and Kansas State offered Davis, and the Tide have caught his eye. The speedy playmaker said he will take an official visit to 'Bama after the season. 


'Canes Still Coming After Wisconsin Pledge

Dominic Sheppard out of Miami (Florida) Gulliver Prep has been committed to Wisconsin since July, but that hasn't stopped schools from recruiting him. The hard-hitting linebacker checked out the Hurricanes-Seminoles showdown on Saturday, Nov. 15.

Jorge Baez, Miami's assistant director of player personnel, coached Sheppard at Gulliver Prep prior to taking a job on Al Golden's staff in August. "I still like Wisconsin, but having Coach Baez on the UM staff does play a major role," said Sheppard. "Coach [Earl] Sims always speaks highly of Coach Golden." 

Sims played for Golden at the University of Virginia and is the head coach at Gulliver.

Is Sheppard 100 percent committed to Wisconsin despite his local ties to UM? "I am," replied Sheppard. "But I'm still going to take all of my official visits."

The 6'2" 225-pounder has offers from Boston College, Louisville and Vanderbilt, among others.


Unless otherwise noted, all quotes were obtained firsthand. Recruiting information and ratings courtesy of 247Sports unless otherwise noted.

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College Football Picks: Week 14 Predictions for Every Game

The season's over already?

That's what a lot of college football fans will be saying after this weekend, which marks the final round of games for many FBS teams that won't be playing in bowl games. For others, it will be the last regular-season contest, with all that remains being an invite to a far-off locale against an intriguing opponent in a one-off game sponsored by a relatively obscure advertiser.

And then there are those fighting for the big time, the first-ever four-team playoff, as well as the major bowl games associated with the College Football Playoff system.

A lot is riding on this weekend of action, with almost every game having some impact on the bowl selections and playoff rankings. Heading into Thursday's holiday games, 74 schools have secured bowl eligibility (including two that, as transitioning FBS members, would only get a bid if they're all that remains for bowls to pick from), and another 17 teams are a win away from being bowl-eligible.

Only 78 bowl spots are available.

No week of college football this season has had more intrigue than this one, which would already be a big one because of the many rivalry games. However, it's even more important due to bowl and playoff positioning. But who will win?

Check out our predictions for Week 14's games, then give us your selections in the comments section.

Last week: 44-13 (.772)

Season: 569-185 (.754)

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How Michigan Can Contain Ohio State Stars Joey Bosa and JT Barrett

Believe it or not, Michigan's defense has stood up to some of the best in the Big Ten.

However, on Saturday, it'll face the best against Ohio State at The Shoe in Columbus.

On one hand, a win—accompanied by a few style points—could push the 10-1 and No. 6-ranked Buckeyes closer to the top four and into the national title hunt.

On the other, a victory would make the 5-6 Wolverines even on the year, eligible for the postseason and slightly more confident heading into 2015.

As expected, Urban Meyer's guys are heavy favorites over Brady Hoke's Team 135ers. Odds Shark indicates the Buckeyes are favored by 21 points.

Those numbers are probably right.

If the Wolverines are to have any chance of reversing their ill fortunes in waiting, Greg Mattison's defense has to play at its highest level of the year. All of that starts by containing Heisman Trophy contender J.T. Barrett.

Conversely, if the Wolverines are to have any shot of escaping alive, they'll have to put the brakes on Lombardi Award-worthy defensive end Joey Bosa.


Mobile in Red

Barrett is a redshirt freshman who's leading the league's No. 1-ranked scoring offense (44 PPG) and No. 2-ranked total offense (511 YPG) into "The Game," one of the most competitive environments in all of sport. 

Think about that for a second. It takes a special kind of veteran to survive those moments. But the youngster is beyond his years, and his ability to manufacture points and lead drives has to make coordinator Tom Herman and Ed Warriner's job pretty easy.

That, in turn, makes Mattison's job more difficult.

"Barrett is an outstanding quarterback," Mattison said of the 6'2", 225-pounder. "He's very, very talented. He can throw the football. He can run it. He runs that offense very, very well.

We've played against some great quarterbacks, so our guys will be ready. We know what we have to do and we're looking forward to the challenge of doing it."

Considering the circumstances, Mattison's defense has actually limited most quarterbacks. Other than Rutgers' Gary Nova, who threw for 404 yards, there hasn't been one who has really exploited Michigan. The successful ones just continuously pick at the holes, taking what's given on a drive-by-drive basis.

That's how Michigan State's Connor Cook did it—bits here, followed by occasional chunks there—and the same worked this past weekend for Maryland's C.J. Brown.

Barrett can do that, and then some. He's arguably the best quarterback Michigan will have faced this fall.

As always, capping long throws downfield will be important. Keeping Barrett's arm at bay is crucial, but Michigan must start by watching his feet—if Barrett's boxed in, the chances of forcing him into mistakes increases.

"I always look at the next challenge as being the biggest challenge," Mattison said. "This is the next one, so yes it is the biggest challenge. It's the next one—whoever you're playing next, that's the way we look at it and we're excited about it."


Joey Boss-a

According to 247Sports, Bosa was the No. 4-ranked strong-side defensive end recruit in 2013. Now a 6'6", 278-pound sophomore, the Buckeyes star has "Sunday" written all over him.

Auburn wanted Bosa. So did Alabama and Florida, among several others.

"I recruited him. I've seen him as a youngster. He's an outstanding football player," Mattison said. "He's like some of our guys. He's a good football player. He's young and does some really good things. You know, it's fun watching him."

How much fun? When asked to elaborate, Mattison rattled off a tongue-twisting homage to the juggernaut of coach Larry Johnson, Luke Fickell and Chris Ash's defense.

"He just plays hard. He plays like...he plays like I expect...he plays like defensive,

I think Willie Henry plays like him. I think Chris Wormley plays like him. I think guys that do a good a good job and do what they're supposed to do, that's how they play. They play hard, they do their technique, they run to the football.

And that's what he does. That's what he's coached to do, and you can see him do that. He plays excited."

So to clarify, Mattison essentially said that Bosa was a force of nature who's capable of snapping the Wolverines' offensive line into pieces. OK, so he didn't exactly say that. But he respects Bosa's ability and likely fears for the safety of Devin Gardner.

That one was a reach, too.

But you get the hint. Bosa is a badass. That's why Mattison recruited him. If Michigan's O-line does one thing—just one thing—on Saturday, it must limit Bosa. That's the mission: Forget about everyone else and focus on No. 97.

He'll move around, playing high in some packages and low in others, but he'll be there. Classic tactics such as running plays away from Bosa's side will only work for so long. He covers a lot of ground and can't be dodged forever.

Now is the time for Wolverines offensive line coach Darrell Funk to have a heart-to-heart with his front five. It's the season finale, it's versus Ohio State—it's gut-check time for Funk's O-line.


Follow Bleacher Report's Michigan Wolverines football writer Adam Biggers on Twitter @AdamBiggers81.

Unless otherwise noted, all quotes and references to were obtained firsthand by the writer.

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Bowl Projections 2014: Current Playoff Rankings and Predictions Before Week 14

Even though there is something wondrous about the entire bowl season, this year brings something new and different to the table for college football. With the final College Football Playoff standings coming out in just over one week, the final four has never been more in focus. 

Of course, since this is college football we are talking about, crazy things start happening once you think everything is figured out. For instance, a team like Florida State has been flirting with disaster all year. No one would be shocked if the Seminoles found the banana peel before December 7. 

Whatever is in store for the College Football Playoff and the selection committee, it will all be fascinating to watch unfold. Instead of merely waiting around for the games to be played, here's what you should expect to see happen by the time all the games have been played. 

(Note: As the table header indicates, the logo shown at the far right of each team's row is for that team's next opponent and not for the ranked team itself.)


College Football Playoff Predictions

Rose Bowl: No. 2 Oregon vs. No. 3 Florida State

There's not a lot of mystery involved with this matchup. Oregon and Florida State have already clinched spots in their respective conference championship games and aren't likely to be challenged over the next two weeks. 

The Ducks have a rivalry game with Oregon State on Saturday. It's being played at Reser Stadium and weird things can happen in these games, but the Beavers haven't won in this spot since 2007. They did come close last year, losing by one point, though don't expect another tight battle. 

Oregon State's offense averages 26.3 points per game; Oregon averages 45.8. Oregon State allows 30.2 points per game; Oregon allows 23.6.

The one thing that will give Oregon State a chance in this spot is quarterback Sean Mannion. The senior is completing 63.5 percent of his passes with 3,002 yards. Since the offense around him isn't very good, Mannion has only thrown 14 touchdowns this year. 

Comparing Mannion to Marcus Mariota is like comparing a random Wednesday night dinner to a Thanksgiving meal, as noted by Bruce Feldman of Fox Sports:

Once Oregon gets past Oregon State, it will have a matchup in the Pac-12 Championship Game with UCLA, Arizona or Arizona State. While Arizona will get mentioned as a potential spoiler because of its head-to-head win over Oregon earlier in the season, it's important to note the Ducks' offensive line has improved dramatically over the last two months. 

Oregon has already blown UCLA out of the water this season and there's no reason to expect anything different. Arizona State would have made an interesting opponent, but its loss against Oregon State and 97 points allowed in the last three games don't paint a pretty picture. 

Florida State has the easiest path of any top contender to get in. The Seminoles have a nonconference showdown with Florida, which is coming into the game with a 6-4 record and only one win against a ranked team (Georgia). 

The ACC Championship Game against Georgia Tech is where the slip-up could happen. The Yellow Jackets are fourth in the nation with 327.9 rushing yards per game and 14th in points per game (37.8).

Florida State's run defense has been terrible of late, giving up 240 yards to Boston College and 176 to Miami, yet the team has found a way to win all of its games thus far. 

However, as noted by Heather Dinich of, it's not impossible to see a scenario where Florida State gets left out of the playoff with less-than-impressive wins:

In the court of public opinion. Florida State has won 27 straight games and is the only undefeated Power 5 team remaining, yet the selection committee and seemingly everyone else outside of Tallahassee has pointed to the Noles' slew of close wins as a weakness.

While it's highly unlikely an undefeated team that won the national championship last year would get moved below teams with one loss (Ohio State, TCU, Baylor, Mississippi State), the committee has not hesitated to punish the Seminoles for looking pedestrian. 

Given what we've seen from the Seminoles this year, you can't bet against them to lose before the playoff begins. They will make you look like a fool every time. 


Sugar Bowl: No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Ohio State

Here's where the biggest change from the current rankings comes in. Alabama is pretty self explanatory, being ranked No. 1 already and playing an Auburn team on Saturday that's allowed 179 points in its last five SEC games. 

Assuming the Crimson Tide take care of business at home on Saturday in the Iron Bowl, Missouri or Georgia awaits in the SEC Championship Game. Missouri lost to Indiana and got shut out by Georgia earlier in the season. The Tigers haven't beaten a team currently ranked in the top 25 all year. 

Georgia's offense plays into Nick Saban's hands. The Bulldogs are a run-first team, while the Crimson Tide haven't allowed a 100-yard rusher in conference play all year. All you need to know about how well Alabama is playing right now comes courtesy of R.J. Bell from

The selection committee obviously thinks highly of Alabama, so it would take a massive upset for something to change its collective mind. 

All the chaos comes when you look at the No. 4 spot. Mississippi State occupies the final slot right now, though that could change twice over the next 10 days. If the Bulldogs lose to Mississippi, their title chances are done. 

Even with a win, Mississippi State will need help because Ole Miss doesn't look as good as it once did thanks to three losses in its last four games. Dan Mullen's team also won't have the benefit of a conference title game unless it wins and Alabama loses to Auburn. 

That leaves TCU, Ohio State and Baylor fighting for the fourth spot. Assuming all three teams win this weekend, TCU seems unlikely to stay above Baylor because of Baylor's head-to-head victory. That leaves Baylor and Ohio State still fighting for the final playoff spot. 

Ohio State gets the advantage in this scenario by virtue of having two more games left, including a potential Big Ten Championship Game against Wisconsin. It's vital the Buckeyes play the Badgers over Minnesota because Urban Meyer's team already defeated the Golden Gophers. 

It would also look better to the selection committee if Ohio State defeated the 14th-ranked team (Wisconsin) instead of a second win over the 18th-ranked team (Minnesota), The elephant in the room, as noted by Doug Lesmerises of The Cleveland Plain Dealer, is figuring out how to judge the Buckeyes:

The greatest debate in college football is the balance between how the Buckeyes are playing in the last two months vs. the Virginia Tech loss vs. the overall strength of their schedule in the Big Ten. Ohio State is the lynchpin of the playoff at the moment. The debate any more really isn't who will be No. 4.

It's whether Ohio State gets in or not.

There's no doubt Virginia Tech is a bad loss for Ohio State, but the committee has already come to accept how much the Buckeyes have grown by putting them sixth in the rankings. One more statement win over Wisconsin should be enough to fill the Buckeyes' resume out as one of the four best teams in the country. 


If you want to talk sports, hit me up on Twitter.

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Nebraska Football: Underclassmen Who Need to Step Up Against Iowa

Against Minnesota, the Nebraska football team took a hit. It wasn't just the loss that stung. It was the injuries to upperclassmen like wide receiver Kenny Bell and center Mark Pelini.

When the Huskers walk into Kinnick Stadium to take on Iowa, underclassmen will be expected to step up. With players like Bell still "50/50," as head coach Bo Pelinitold reporters, younger players will have to make the big plays necessary for Nebraska to win.

Who exactly are those underclassmen?

First, center Ryne Reeves is expected to start in Pelini's absence. However, it won't be the first time he's seen the field this season. As Rich Kaipust of the Omaha World-Herald pointed out, Reeves has had his fair share of snaps over the last 10 football games.

Against Minnesota, for instance, he had 57 snaps alone. That has to make the underclassman feel good about his role for Nebraska against Iowa.

Offensive coordinator Tim Beck is confident Reeves will handle the job just fine:

We’ve been fortunate enough to give him a lot of reps through the course of the season — and he played well. Obviously having a senior like Mark — who’s a veteran player, who’s played in a lot of ball games — (get injured) is a big blow to us. But Ryne is capable of definitely handling the workload.

Reeves will still have to step up and be a leader for Nebraska. With the experience, he's on the right track.

As for the wide receiver position, Bell may not get a chance to play against Iowa. Because of this, there are two underclassmen who will need to fill the void he leaves behind. Those two players are freshman De'Mornay Pierson-El and sophomore Jordan Westerkamp.

Pierson-El has gained more and more playing time as the season has progressed. He had an opportunity to make the game-winning catch against Minnesota, but the Gophers stripped the ball from him and the rest is history.

"They know how hard it is on me," Pierson-El told "I’m upset with myself and everything, but to know that they’re not upset and for them to come to me in that moment and still have a smile on their face and hug me, it just makes everything a lot easier on me.”

That attitude is a big part of why Pierson-El has earned the playing time he has. He summed up the reason why with a simple answer: “They just trust me more."

Westerkamp, on the other hand, had a stellar start to his season. He had a touchdown catch in the first three games of the year but has only had one against Rutgers since. Westerkamp will need to find his groove again.

With Bell potentially out, Westerkamp is in a position to be the leader the receivers need in his absence. That will require both big and smart plays.

However, to make those plays happen, he'll need to have good communication with a key person—none other than quarterback Tommy Armstrong.

Armstrong's sophomore season has been a rocky one. For fans, it hasn't always been what was wanted. However, Armstrong has had shining moments.

For instance, Armstrong had a good day against Minnesota, despite the loss. He completed 12 of 19 passes for 223 yards and one touchdown. He also rushed for another 45 yards. If he can have a similarly good game against Iowa, he could very well lead the Huskers to a much-needed win.

That's the catch, though. Can Armstrong lead this group after back-to-back losses? The trick will be for him to stay relaxed.

"When he’s just relaxed and being himself back there he is an efficient quarterback," I-back Ameer Abdullah told reporters. "I’m sure this weekend will be another testament of how he is trying to take the pressure off himself and just let things go."

Nebraska is reeling from the losses to Wisconsin and Minnesota. Beyond that, there are serious concerns with the losses of upperclassmen who had led this team for a few years now.

That's why the Huskers will need the underclassmen to step up.

They're not just the future of this program. They're the ones who will determine the outcome against Iowa.

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Randy Gregory Injury: Updates on Nebraska Star's Ankle and Return

Dealing with an ankle sprain, Nebraska defensive end Randy Gregory is questionable for Friday's regular-season finale at Iowa.   

Head coach Bo Pelini, via's Robin Washut, confirmed the news regarding the talented junior:

The Pioneer Press' Marcus R. Fuller added some details about the injury, suggesting that it doesn't sound overly serious:

Gregory, a candidate for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft, has 50 tackles and seven sacks on the season, per

"(There are) plenty of good pass rushers in the country, but I think he's the best this year," an NFC North scout said earlier this month regarding Gregory, via

While a minor injury isn't going to affect his draft stock, it's undoubtedly a major loss for the Cornhuskers if he isn't available to suit up.

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5 Most Important College Football Recruiting Visits of Week 14

Thanksgiving weekend annually presents a pivotal stretch of the recruiting cycle. Time away from school and work allows prospects and families to coordinate extended campus visits, and plenty are set to take place in the coming days.

Rivalry matchups renew across the country this Saturday, so game-day atmospheres promise to be electric with high-profile visitors in attendance. As we close in on just two months remaining until national signing day, here's a preview of premier recruits who are expected to spend time at schools.

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Wisconsin Football: What the Badgers Should Be Thankful for in 2014

After a couple of early season slip-ups including blowing a 17-point lead in the opener to LSU, the Wisconsin football team is 9-2 and 6-1 in the Big Ten with a home date against Minnesota to determine the Big Ten West winner. A trip to Indianapolis hangs in the balance.

The Badgers have plenty to be thankful for this season. It looked like it could have been a doomed year after one of the largest and most productive graduating classes departed last season, leaving the Badgers with no starters left from their front seven. Plus, the team had to cope with the graduation of its best receiver in Jared Abbrederis.

Let's take a look at four things the Badgers have to be thankful for as Thanksgiving rolls around, which includes people, places and things on and off the field, starting with one that's entirely out of the control of the team: the schedule-makers in the Big Ten.

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Ranking Best College Football Rivalry Names

How can you tell it's a big game? It's all in the name.

It's Rivalry Week in college football, with many of this weekend's biggest matchups pitting longtime rivals who don't have very nice things to say about each other. Records aside, these games are often the most important ones on the schedule year in and year out, with another year of bragging rights (and maybe some sort of trophy) up for grabs.

Each rivalry considers itself the biggest one in the country, but the most significant ones tend to stand out because of their names. These monikers either describe the series' history or tap into the schools' rich tradition, adding to their lore.

We've ranked the 10 best rivalry names in college football, listing ones that are on tap for Friday and Saturday as well as ones held at other points in this season. Rather than basing them on how big the games are, either regionally or nationally, the rivalries are rated in order of how much their name resonates.

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Bowl Projections 2014: Breaking Down Best Potential Non-Playoff Matchups

The final weekend of November is a busy time. In addition to that holiday Thursday, the final slate of regular-season games in college football represents the final paradigm shift for all 39 bowl games. 

Even though there are conference championship games December 6 that will have a ripple effect on the College Football Playoff, this weekend is the last time all 128 FBS schools will have a chance to secure their spot in a bowl game. 

While the official bowl selections won't be known for over one week, there are already projections that make it easy to see where things stand and where they could be headed depending on how things play out over the next 10 days. 

Here are the best potential games for the 2014-15 bowl season, excluding the College Football Playoff matchups, because it would be easy to solely focus on those games. 

Bowl projections via Christopher Wilson of Yahoo Sports


Peach Bowl (TBD vs. TBD): Michigan State vs. Georgia

Depending on what happens in the SEC Championship Game, it's possible to see Alabama or Mississippi State fall into this spot. 

Hopefully, unless you are a fan of Georgia or Mississippi State, that doesn't happen. The potential for a Michigan State vs. Georgia showdown in any bowl game, let alone one of the non-marquee bowls, is so rich that it has to be fattening. 

Even though the Big Ten has been a whipping boy for years, it's time to start giving the conference its due. Ohio State is a legitimate title contender. Michigan State stuck around Oregon at Autzen Stadium for 40 minutes before the hinges came off. Wisconsin and Minnesota are solid football teams, worthy of their Top 25 rankings. 

The Spartans have a deserved reputation for being a defensive-minded team, but Chris Vannini of noted the team has already set a school record for points in a season with 483 and two more games left (including the bowl):

If there is a concern for Michigan State in this spot, it's surprisingly on defense. In the Spartans' two biggest games of the year—against Oregon and Ohio State—they allowed 95 points. For comparison, against everyone else, they have allowed 134 points in nine games. 

Mark Dantonio has built Michigan State into one of the best programs in the country. In order for the Spartans to take that next step into the elite category, a win against one of the best SEC schools is paramount. 

On the other side, Georgia is similar to Michigan State based on its performance this year. The Bulldogs are still looking for a signature win, as the blowout against Auburn looks less impressive today than it did two weeks ago. 

Mark Richt's team also stubbed its toe in a key rivalry game, though Florida isn't in the same category as Ohio State right now. One thing that has been impressive about Georgia's season is the way it's adjusted without Todd Gurley on two different occasions. 

Nick Chubb is already one of the best running backs in the country as a freshman, with 1,152 yards and 11 touchdowns on 161 carries. He's also been racking up individual weekly awards for that effort, per Tanya Sichynsky of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution:

Georgia has the better running game, while Michigan State has developed a very good passing game with Connor Cook at quarterback. Both defenses have been solid, save for a couple of hiccups. Something has to give, so what better way to settle the differences than in Atlanta for the Peach Bowl?


Liberty Bowl (Big 12 vs. SEC): West Virginia vs. Arkansas

West Virginia has fallen off a cliff since the calendar flipped to November, losing three straight games. Two of them are justifiable, because TCU is a College Football Playoff contender and Kansas State has been hovering around the Top 10 all year. 

But the Mountaineers' loss to Texas, which was sandwiched in between those other two losses, that sticks out. They got blown out of the water in Austin, trailing 24-3 at halftime and allowing 227 rushing yards. 

However, this is still a West Virginia team that was competitive with Alabama in the season opener and ended Baylor's chances for an undefeated season with a 41-27 win. There's a very good team lurking in the shadows for Dana Holgorsen waiting to explode at some point. 

While West Virginia seems to have peaked early and is getting a rough dose of reality late, Arkansas might be the most dangerous 6-5 team in the country. The Razorbacks' 2-5 SEC record is deceiving because three of those losses came by seven points or less. 

The last two games have shown how dangerous this Arkansas team is, pitching back-to-back shutouts against LSU and Mississippi. The latter victory could have a huge impact on the final playoff rankings, because a potential Mississippi State win over the Rebels won't look as impressive now. 

To further illustrate how impressive and difficult Arkansas' season has been, despite the mediocre record, Matt Hinton of presented this stat in his weekly college wrap-up:

Altogether, Arkansas has faced seven ranked opponents this season — that is, in every conference game, which must be some kind of record — and has played each of them to a virtual standstill: Including A&M’s winning touchdown in overtime, the Razorbacks have been outscored in those games by a grand total of five points.

It's not the sexiest matchup by records, but a West Virginia-Arkansas showdown could end up being the one between two teams outside the Top 25 rankings that has the most impact on the College Football Playoff rankings. 


Fiesta Bowl (TBD vs. TBD): UCLA vs. Boise State

If UCLA vs. Boise State were an NFL playoff game, it would be highlighted as the one with two teams that have overcome early struggles and are playing their best football at the right time. 

UCLA came into the season with tremendous hype as the No. 7 team in the Associated Press preseason Top 25. You wouldn't know why based on the first few weeks, which included unimpressive wins over Virginia, Memphis and Texas.

Back-to-back losses against Utah and Oregon seemed to suggest the Bruins were all hype and no substance when they went up against quality teams. Five straight wins, including a dominant effort against USC, have brought UCLA back into the national conversation. 

Not all of the victories have been pretty, like a double-overtime win against Colorado, but as Florida State has proved, all that matters is the final score. Brett Hundley is peaking at the right time, as his stat line against USC indicates, via ESPN College Football:

Speaking of peaking, Boise State is slowly moving back into the national conversation again. The Broncos' schedule isn't the sexiest, losing their only game against a ranked team (Mississippi) by 22, but they are going to get in a big game by virtue of having so many spots available. 

A matchup against a good-not-great UCLA team would be the perfect reintroduction for Boise State. The Broncos won't be completely outmatched, like they would be against a mid-level SEC or top-tier Big Ten team, and we've seen in the past what this school can do on the big stage. 

The Broncos also have a quarterback playing well, as highlighted by the Boise State Football official Twitter account:

Points would be plentiful in this matchup, as the Bruins rank 70th in scoring defense and the Broncos are 79th. It's not a glamorous matchup, like a potential Michigan State-Georgia showdown, but it should be a fun one to watch. 


If you want to talk sports, hit me up on Twitter. 

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Top Recruits Who Will Be Impacted by Result of the Auburn-Alabama Game

Alabama and Auburn collide yet again Saturday when the Iron Bowl takes center stage in Tuscaloosa. The teams have enjoyed immense success this decade, appearing in every national championship game since 2009.

This time around, the Crimson Tide attempt to move one step closer toward an inaugural College Football Playoff berth, while Auburn aims to spoil those dreams. Few games rival this showdown during a holiday weekend filled with gridiron greatness.

Along with fans across the country, high school recruits will be watching closely when these SEC rivals kick off. Here's a look at coveted prospects who could be impacted by this matchup.

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