Feed aggregator

How 2014's Top Freshman QBs Compare to Johnny Manziel, Jameis Winston

Johnny Manziel and Jameis Winston have ruined the curve for freshman quarterbacks the past two seasons, combining to win 25 games, one national title and two Heisman Trophies.

Especially these next few seasons, every freshman who starts at a major program will be compared with that precocious duo, even though their success is an unfair precedent to compete with.

This year, only four freshman quarterbacks are starting at major programs, two redshirts and two trues. The two trues—Jon Wolford of Wake Forest and Brad Kaaya of Miami—have struggled a bit, but the two redshirts—Anu Solomon of Arizona and J.T. Barrett of Ohio State—have looked the part of quality contributors.

Since Manziel and Winston also took a redshirt before starting, it seems fair to give Wolford and Kaaya a pass from the comparison. Playing in one's actual first year is a difficult mountain to climb.

But Solomon and Barrett got to learn for a year before starting, and they, like Manziel and Winston, are playing under renowned offensive coaches (Rich Rodriguez and Urban Meyer, respectively).

Let's see how they stack up to their predecessors:

*Measured the average of the first three QBR scores (via ESPN.com), not necessarily the QBR after three games. 

Barrett has thrown five interceptions in three games, which sticks out next to Manziel's zero and Solomon and Winston's one.

To be fair, a large part of that can be attributed to preparedness, since Barrett didn't think he would be starting until Braxton Miller's shoulder injury late in camp. It can also be attributed to having to play Virginia Tech, one of the best secondaries in America. Both of those things might have skewed the turnover results against him.

At the same time, Manziel played Florida in his first career game, and he didn't implode by turning the ball over. The defenses each QB played must be taken into account—and they will be—but there is no good excuse for Barrett's carelessness through three games.

That is very un-Manziel and -Winston of him.

A second thing of note from Table 1 is Solomon's volume yardage. He has posted more than 1,000 total yards through three games, easily the most of all four players and almost 300 more than Winston in 2013.

Ostensibly, numbers like that helped inform Danny Kanell of ESPN when he ranked Solomon way too high (No. 6; above Winston and Connor Cook) on his early season quarterback Stock Watch a couple weeks ago. But how much do they really mean?

It's important to look at these numbers in context. Solomon's raw yardage is great, but his usage far exceeds that of Winston, whose team won its first three games in blowout fashion. Whereas Winston got to exit after roughly three quarters, Solomon has been locked in 60-minute games, working hard to score points throughout.

Here is how each QB has done on a per-play basis:

The numbers here validate how Winston started last season, clarifying one way he'd been better than Solomon despite smaller raw numbers. He was involved in almost 50 fewer offensive plays, averaging close to 10 yards per play that he was involved in.

There's a reason FSU could afford to pull him late in those games.

Table 2 brings up an interesting point, however, with regard Manziel, who finished fourth with 7.3 yards per play.

That seems backward considering all that we know about Manziel, especially after looking at Table 1. After three games, was he actually the least efficient of these QBs on a per-play basis?

Absolutely not.

This is where the strength of opponent thing comes into play. Manziel finished first (by a wide margin) in the bottom row of Table 1, the one that measured average QBR. Although QBR is a young stat, it is useful because it weights (a) context, (b) rushing stats and (c) strength of defense faced. It is far from being perfect, but in 2014, it is one of the best quantifiable metrics of quarterback performance.

Despite his lesser per-play numbers, Manziel finished first in adjusted QBR because he played Florida, which in 2012 was one of the best defenses in the country. Unlike Barrett in his game against Virginia Tech, he did not throw any crippling interceptions. He gave his team a chance to win, and even though it didn't, he played well.

On the whole, QBR is where Winston and Manziel had the biggest advantage over Solomon and Barrett, giving credence to the assertion that this year's freshman QBs have not been quite as good:

*Measured the average of the first three QBR scores, not necessarily the QBR after three games. 

According to ESPN (the site that compiles QBR), the scale ranges from 0-100, where a perfect game scores a 100, an average game scores a 50 and the worst game imaginable scores a 0.

Solomon and Barrett each logged a below-average performance in their second game, something neither Winston nor Manziel did at any point as freshmen. Manziel came close against LSU (51.2), but other than that, neither even flirted with going sub-50.

That is not to say that Solomon and Barrett cannot turn things around. They can. Neither is on par with Manziel after three games, but Winston is not far ahead of them. It wasn't until the second quarter of the regular season that he began playing like a Heisman candidate (and eventual winner) on a weekly basis:

*Measured the average of the first three QBR scores, not necessarily the QBR after three games. 

**Finished with the No. 1 QBR score in the country.

Using this logic, the next three games are a watershed stretch for Solomon and Barrett's development. If they play well, each would be following the same rough path as Winston (Solomon in particular, since his team is undefeated). If they don't play well, the comparisons with previous star freshman will end.

Solomon starts his second quarter with a home game against Cal, but he follows that with a road trip to Oregon and a home game against USC. Despite (and in some ways, because of) how the Trojans looked at Boston College Saturday, those second two games will pose a stiff test and teach us a lot about Solomon's immediate future.

Barrett starts his second quarter with a home game against Cincinnati, following that with a road trip to Maryland and a home game against Rutgers. The Bearcats, Terps and Scarlet Knights all have offenses that can score but questionable defenses, which should set Barrett up for success if he seizes the opportunity.

"We're still...figuring out exactly how we're going to be moving the ball as an offense once we start getting to the Big Ten season," said Meyer after Barrett threw for six touchdowns against Kent State, per Ben Axelrod of Bleacher Report.

Whether he should keep spreading out the offense with five receivers, he doesn't know. If the precedents are any indication, however, Meyer and his staff are running out of time to tinker.

The training period is supposed to be done.

Like Solomon, Barrett is a dual-threat player who's had modest success after three starts. He has weapons around him to help him do well, and even if that doesn't result in a Heisman (it won't), it can still result in a good first season and an auspicious future.

However, he and Solomon have both been slightly worse than Winston and Manziel were as freshmen, which is nothing to be ashamed of but also nothing a player should resign himself to. There is still a way for them to match their forerunners' success, but it needs to start immediately, in the next triad of games.

After three weeks, all four freshman seasons are in the same ballpark, but Manziel's is in the first row behind home plate, Winston's is a few rows back on the third base-line, Solomon's is at the front of the second deck and Barrett's is in the outfield bleachers.

They all got admitted to the game, but if Solomon and Barrett are going to upgrade seats, that movement must start now.

Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

Ohio State Football: What Bye-Week Adjustments Do the Buckeyes Need to Make?

COLUMBUS, Ohio — In each of his first two seasons at Ohio State, neither of Urban Meyer's bye weeks with the Buckeyes landed until November. And with his teams' weeks off not coming until the final quarter of the season, the OSU head coach had just one matter on his mind each time: health.

It also didn't hurt that in each of the Buckeyes' previous two bye weeks, Ohio State was still unbeaten and on the cusp of perfect regular seasons. Little had to change for the Buckeyes from a game-planning standpoint, as Meyer used the late weeks off to get the likes of Braxton Miller, John Simon and Carlos Hyde back to full strength.

But 2014 has dealt Meyer and Ohio State a different hand, with the Buckeyes receiving their first of two bye weeks on the year in just the fourth week of the season. And with a 2-1 record, Ohio State, and its relatively healthy roster, has taken a new approach into this week's bye, as it looks to build on the momentum that it gained in its 66-0 win over Kent State last weekend.

"We're going to practice hard this week," Meyer said on Saturday. "A lot of what you do in a bye week is dependent on what kind of team you have. But our guys need repetitions."

With those repetitions are sure to come adjustments for a Buckeyes team that has been inconsistent at best through its first fourth of the regular season. With a pivotal game against Cincinnati looming, Ohio State's development over the next week will be crucial and could play a key role in defining the remainder of its 2014 season.

With that in mind, here's a look at the adjustments that the Buckeyes will attempt to make during their earlier-than-usual bye this week.


Use the Youth

With its game against the Golden Flashes out of hand before the start of the second quarter, Ohio State used its most recent outing as an opportunity to burn some redshirts and get several true freshmen the first playing time of their careers.

Outside of Curtis Samuel, Sean Nuernberger, Raekwon McMillan and Erick Smith—all of whom had already made their OSU debuts—Jalyn Holmes, Damon Webb, Johnnie Dixon, Noah Brown, Dante Booker, Jamarco Jones and Marcelys Jones each received their first playing time as Buckeyes in the team's blowout victory.

Add in the number of redshirt freshmen and true sophomores that Ohio State had already been counting on, and there was no shortage of youth to be found on the field for the Buckeyes last Saturday. That's not something that will change moving forward, either, as the makeup of Ohio State's roster has dictated this year's team to be an inexperienced one.

"I'm really excited about our young skill," Meyer said after the Kent State game. "I am trying to get our players as many reps as possible by the time we get to the Big Ten season, and this was a great opportunity for that."

The same can be said for the bye week, which will provide ample opportunities for the Buckeye youngsters to continue to get their feet wet. Perhaps no player will be more important in that process than McMillan, who saw a plethora of playing time at middle linebacker last Saturday in place of Curtis Grant.

A former 5-star prospect, McMillan made the most of his time too, recording a team-high seven tackles and two sacks against the Golden Flashes. After playing just sparingly and on special teams in Ohio State's first two games of the season, the Hinesville, Georgia, native certainly lived up to the hype in what was the most significant playing time of his young career.

"Coach Meyer’s philosophy, he always says to be ready when your number is called,” McMillan said after the game. “So, mental reps, even when you’re not in practice or even when you’re not in games, are important."

But with his impressive outing last week, look for McMillan's mental reps to decrease as the Ohio State staff adds more actual reps to his workload. The same could be said Samuel, Holmes, Dixon and Jamarco Jones, all of whom could find themselves playing significant roles for the Buckeyes by season's end.


Form a Front Five

Of all of the Ohio State offense's inefficiencies thus far this season, many can be traced back to its ineffective offensive line, which is still in the process of replacing four multiyear starters from a season ago.

With three games under their belt, the Buckeyes appear to have settled on a starting five for the unit, with Taylor Decker, Pat Elflein, Jacoby Boren, Billy Price and Darryl Baldwin taking the majority of the significant snaps for Ohio State this season.

But setting a starting five and being comfortable with it are two different stories. Which is why, while the Buckeyes were quick to put in most of their second-teamers against the Golden Flashes, they stuck with several starting offensive linemen, as Meyer is well aware of how important experience will be to their development.

"Even players that are considered starters here, there are just so many guys out there from the Billy Price's to the Darryl Baldwin's, just want to get them a lot of reps," Meyer said. "We did that today."

That trend will continue through the bye, which will give Ohio State two more full weeks of practice to continue to develop its line before its battle with the Bearcats. In between the Buckeyes' loss to Virginia Tech and dismantling of Kent State, Price saw positive momentum across his unit, which he expects to continue throughout the bye and beyond.

"We have to get better as a whole. From last week to this week, I feel that we got better," Price said. "We're a lot more in sync."

How much more in sync will the Ohio State offensive line look with two more weeks of practice under its belt? We're about to find out.


Grin And Barrett

When Braxton Miller went down for the season with a torn labrum two weeks before the season opener, the Buckeyes' national title hopes took an understandable hit. And while we'll never know whether or not Ohio State would have defeated the Hokies in Week 2 with the reigning two-time MVP in the lineup, quarterback J.T. Barrett has played admirably in his absence.

So much so, in fact, that in the first three weeks of his college career, the redshirt freshman signal-caller has earned two Big Ten Freshman of the Week awards and is the current reigning Big Ten Offensive Player of the Week.

After a shaky showing against Virginia Tech, Barrett bounced back in the Buckeyes' blowout win over Kent State, tying a school record with six touchdown passes and becoming the first OSU quarterback to throw for 300 yards in a single game since Troy Smith in 2006.

And while the Buckeyes offense may have a significantly lower ceiling with Barrett behind center instead of Miller, Ohio State appears to finally be finding an offensive identity with its new starting quarterback. Against the Golden Flashes, eight Buckeyes caught balls by the end of the first quarter, and five tallied receiving touchdowns by the end of the game, indicative of a pass-happy approach that plays to Barrett's strengths as a "distributor."

"At this point, I think we have a lot of speed, and you can tell we're trying to get guys in open space to see what they can do," Meyer said on Saturday. "We're still, once again, figuring out exactly how we're going to be moving the ball as an offense once we start getting to the Big Ten season."

Albeit against an undermanned opponent, last Saturday appeared to be a big step in that process for the Buckeyes. Gone were the quarterback runs that Miller excelled with for two seasons under Meyer, replaced with swing passes out of the backfield and shorter passes to a work-in-progress wide receiving corps.

With two weeks to prepare for Cincinnati, look for Meyer and his staff to only expand their Barrett-centric playbook, in order to continue to better feature his ability moving forward.

With three games—and three conference honors—now on his resume, the first-year quarterback is only just now getting comfortable and could make a big leap between now and Ohio State's upcoming Buckeye State showdown.


Ben Axelrod is Bleacher Report's Ohio State Lead Writer. You can follow him on Twitter @BenAxelrod. Unless noted otherwise, all quotes were obtained firsthand. All recruiting information courtesy of 247Sports.

Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

Michigan Football: What to Expect from Wolverines vs. Utah

Michigan is three games into the 2014 season, and it’s yet to put together a solid four-quarter effort.

But somehow, and perhaps somewhat luckily, the Wolverines find themselves at 2-1 heading into this Saturday’s home date with Utah, which has averaged 52 points while coasting to a 2-0 record.

Team 135 won’t see 3-1 with another Notre Dame-esque offering, and it won’t calm the masses if it comes out flat on offense or breaks on defense.

In short, if the Wolverines want to take down coach Kyle Whittingham’s Utes, something that Brady Hoke hasn’t done in two attempts, they’ll have to be as close to perfect as possible.

They’ll have to make field goals. They’ll have to minimize turnovers.

They’ll have to finally show their mettle.


Expect a Quick Start on “O”?

The Wolverines scored 17 points during the first half of their 34-10 win over the Red Hawks, who entered the day with 18 consecutive setbacks and nothing else to lose but No. 19. They hung around for three quarters until Michigan decided to distance itself.

Prior to that, Nussmeier’s offense scored zero in Week 2 against Notre Dame.

Through three games, the former Alabama coordinator’s scheme and personnel have failed to strike fear into opponents. Michigan hasn’t appeared powerful enough to quickly build a lead, sustain it and run away with games as it should.

The lack of steady production has been frustrating for fans, but not for Nussmeier. He’s expecting more, and soon.

“No, I’m not frustrated at all,” he replied when asked if he was. Then he cited young receivers and running backs, and the fact quarterback Devin Gardner, a fifth-year senior who’s had three OCs, is “in his third game of a new system.”

Sophomores Derrick Green and De’Veon Smith have the potential to carry the load from the backfield, but they’re slow starters. Without Devin Funchess, who’ll return when he returns, the passing game has suffered, leaving outcomes to be juggled in the hands of guys with few reps. 

“You just look at the youth out there, and there is going to be a growth process,” Nussmeier said. “Our kids have worked extremely hard and take pride in doing things right.

“Now, has it been perfect? No. Do we have a long way to go? Yes. But the attention is there, the focus is there, the want to is there and we’ve just got to continue to improve.”

A week ago, he said the offense was in its “infancy” stage.

Will the fourth game be enough to get Gardner acclimated to the “new system”? Apparently four years of college ball haven’t been enough.

Will it continue to serve as part of the “growth process”? Or will it be another that prompts the same questions next week?

Saturday is the one-third mark of the season. Thirty-three percent. Michigan can’t continue crawling like an infant. It has to get up and run like a big boy.

“We took another step. We took a step in the right direction [versus Miami],” insisted Nussmeier. “Still, we know as a group, that consistency has got to be better. But, at times, you see us do some things very, very well.”


Sharper Image

Hoke admitted that his team was less than keen this past weekend versus the Red Hawks, who caught the Wolverines on their heels before and after the break.

“We had five minutes in the second quarter that would be five minutes that we would like to have [back],” he said, referencing Amara Darboh’s 29-yard catch-turned-fumble and Gardner’s interception. However, he said he was pleased with the overall effort and “hard work” attitude.

Any miscue, and we’re talking any, could be the difference versus the Utes, who won’t be as forgiving as prior opponents Appalachian State and Miami. Another pick thrown by Gardner, especially late, would turn out the lights in Ann Arbor. With four interceptions thus far, he ranks No. 15 nationally in terms of frequency and needs two more to be No. 1.

Another turnover could break the bank, not to mention the hearts of the (probable) 100,000-plus in the stands. The Wolverines’ eight giveaways lead the Big Ten, with three fumbles and five interceptions.

A performance like that against Utah could send them hobbling to another so-so finish and tumultuous offseason. 

Follow Bleacher Report's Michigan Wolverines football writer Adam Biggers on Twitter @AdamBiggers81

Unless otherwise noted, quotes were obtained firsthand by the writer.

Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

Power Ranking the Top 25 College Football Freshmen Through 3 Weeks

College football’s beauty is in its turnover.

Each winter, a large group of junior and senior stars depart the game, through graduation and early entry into the NFL draft.

Each spring and summer, they’re replaced by fresh, talented faces. One of the joys of each football season is watching new talents emerge across the college gridiron landscape, thrill fans and earn their place in college football lore.

Three weeks into the 2014 college football season, some of the top freshmen and redshirt freshmen are emerging as stars. We took a stab at power ranking the top 25 across college football—picked for the stats they have piled up as well as the overall impact they have made on their teams already.

Begin Slideshow

What Could Have Been for Nick Marshall at Kansas State

What if I told you Kansas State quarterback Nick Marshall was gearing up his Wildcats for a big out-of-conference game against No. 5 Auburn in the hopes of not only launching his Heisman campaign in tiny Manhattan, Kansas, but in also making a statement that his team is a legitimate contender for the Big 12 and national titles?

That almost happened.

Marshall—the senior signal-caller for the Auburn Tigers—was pursued heavily by Kansas State as a dual-threat quarterback out of Garden City (Kansas) Community College in the class of 2013.

So much so that Kansas State head coach Bill Snyder wanted Marshall over then-Iowa Western Community College and current Kansas State starting quarterback Jake Waters, according to Jay G. Tate of AuburnSports.com.

"He definitely wanted me there," Marshall told Tate in May of 2013. "They were cool, but that's not what I wanted. I came to Kansas to get away; I didn't want to stay in Kansas. That's the last thing on my mind."

Except that it wasn't.

Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn and offensive coordinator Rhett Lashlee were hot on the trail of Marshall at Arkansas State but knew other programs—bigger programs—would come calling. Kansas State was already there, Indiana got into the mix and then the big one came—Texas.

"I was going to go with Texas," he said.

But Case McCoy was reinstated to the program in January 2013, and Marshall's Texas offer was pulled, according to Tate. Instead of heading to Austin for an official visit, Marshall told Auburn's coaches he'd instead visit Kansas State that weekend. Malzahn and Lashlee convinced him to commit instead of taking the trip, despite the best efforts of Snyder.

"He didn't waver at all," Garden City offensive coordinator Matt Miller told Tate. "Even with Bill Snyder writing hand-written letters every day saying: You're my guy; you're my quarterback. They knew Nick was better than the guy they had coming in. They saw Nick being their starter."

What would that have been like for Kansas State?

Instead of rotating quarterbacks last season with Waters and former Wildcat Daniel Sams, Marshall would likely have won the job outright in the summer for the then-defending Big 12 co-champion Wildcats. 

Would that have prevented Kansas State from losing four of their first six games of the 2013 season?

He certainly would have made the North Dakota State game to open the season easier, as well as Texas, Oklahoma State and Baylor. Couple Marshall with wide receiver Tyler Lockett and then-senior running back John Hubert—a 1,000-yard performer—and Kansas State's rebuilding year would have been more of a reloading year.

A dynamic dual-threat quarterback with a tremendous deep threat and capable running back in an offense that knows how to properly utilize running quarterbacks?

That sounds familiar. You know, sort of like Auburn's 2013 season?

That's not to say that Kansas State would have been 13 seconds away from a national title with Marshall, but it wouldn't be a dark-horse title contender this year, either. Marshall showed a tremendous ability to pick up an offense on the fly in 2013 at Auburn, leading the Tigers to a 12-2 record despite only two-and-a-half weeks at starting quarterback before taking his first snap.

His ability to grasp the offense and go would have made the transition away from Collin Klein easier for Snyder and kept the Kansas State program in the national discussion.

Instead, though, Marshall got out of Kansas, landed in Auburn and the rest is history.

When the Tigers take the field on Thursday night in the Little Apple, though, it will hold special meaning for Marshall. Kansas State was one of the few willing to give him a shot at quarterback. Had Malzahn not been hired by Auburn, Marshall might have been leading the Wildcats into this big out-of-conference showdown on Thursday night instead of the Tigers.

Oh, what might have been.


Barrett Sallee is the lead SEC college football writer and video analyst for Bleacher Report and co-host of the CFB Hangover on Bleacher Report Radio (Sundays, 9-11 a.m. ET) on Sirius 93, XM 208.

Quotes were obtained firsthand unless otherwise noted. All stats are courtesy of cfbstats.com, and all recruiting information is courtesy of 247Sports. Follow Barrett on Twitter @BarrettSallee.

Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

Watch out College Football, Expect Nick Marshall at the Heisman Ceremony

The Auburn Tigers take on the Kansas State Wildcats in Week 4. Bleacher Report's College Football Analysts Adam Kramer and Barrett Sallee discuss how Tigers quarterback Nick Marshall can explode onto the scene. Do you think Nick Marshall deserves to be in the Heisman talks?

Watch the video and let us know!

Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

College Football Rankings 2014: Week 4 Standings and Top 25 Team Records

Upsets. Heisman candidates. Conference rivalries. Memorable plays. Intriguing matchups to come.

Ah, the college football season is in full swing. Is there anything better?

No, probably not. Below, we'll take a look at the Associated Press poll, Bleacher Report poll and the records of each team before previewing this week's most intriguing games on the schedule. You can practically feel the pageantry from here.



Previewing Top Games on Schedule

Let's call a spade a spade—Week 3 offered fans looking for premier matchups a pretty weak slate of options. South Carolina beating Georgia was a highlight, sure, and there were plenty of intriguing upsets, but in general, Saturday wasn't the type of day that had you glued to your couch.

This week should be more compelling, however.  

Things will get started off in brilliant fashion on Thursday night, as No. 5 Auburn and No. 20 Kansas State will clash in a matchup of two of the more dynamic offenses in college football. The Tigers have the No. 7 rushing offense (330 yards per game) and the No. 5 scoring offense (52 points per game), while the Wildcats have rushed for 236 yards a game (32nd in college football) and have put up 43.5 points per contest (21st). 

It may be early in the year for these teams, but it's one heck of a test for both. Auburn, at least, should be pretty healthy, and offensive coordinator Rhett Lashlee has a better idea of his team's identity already, per Brandon Marcello of AL.com:

It's big early in the year because you play one or two games, so you've got a good feel for the new personnel; you've kind of a feel how this team is coming together. It gives us a chance to have everybody as healthy as they can be, even though we've only played two games. We can really work on the direction we think we're going to go.

The only star player with an injury is receiver Sammie Coates, the Tigers' top threat in 2013. Coaches expect his knee to be ready for the 6:30 p.m. kickoff Thursday at Kansas State.

Dual-threat quarterback Jake Waters and the Wildcats will be tough to top at home, but Auburn's ability to not only run the ball at will on opponent's but also play excellent defense will make them quite formidable, even on the road. This one should have plenty of fireworks.

There will be plenty of other intriguing matchups throughout the week, but the other big doozy on tap is No. 22 Clemson traveling to face defending national champions and No. 1 team in the nation Florida State on Saturday night.

At home, Jameis Winston and company are going to be tough to beat. Then again, we were saying something similar before their opener against Oklahoma State, and they squeaked by in that one, winning 37-31. 

Still, the defending champions are loaded. But are they so loaded they are upset-proof?

Andrea Adelson of ESPN doesn't think so, and one of the main reasons is Deshaun Watson:

Though coach Dabo Swinney does not want to incite a quarterback controversy, we have seen first-hand just how dynamic Watson is when he gets into the game. Cole Stoudt does remain the starter, but Watson is effective when he gets his turn. Of the six drives Watson has led, Clemson has scored a touchdown on five of them. Granted, most came against South Carolina State, but it is hard to ignore how much more dynamic the Clemson offense is when Watson is in the game. His mobility makes him a tremendous asset, and Clemson should use that to its advantage. Plus, he is averaging 16.4 yards per pass attempt and 21.3 yards per completion. The bye week gave Clemson coaches the opportunity to figure out how they want to use him, and when they want to use him.

That's going to give the Seminoles an extra threat to game-plan for and take up a decent chunk of their preparation. Could that give Clemson enough of an edge to pull off the upset?

Perhaps. Perhaps not. Winston remains one of college football's most dangerous, most talented weapons, and he'll be expected to bring his A-game in prime time. This one is going to be fun regardless of the outcome. 



Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

Top 25 College Football Teams Guaranteed to Lose More Than 1 Game

Are Georgia and USC out of the College Football Playoff hunt after losing in Week 3?

What about Michigan State, South Carolina, Stanford, Wisconsin, Clemson and Ohio State? Is a good bowl game all 2-1 teams have left to play for?

Though there are plenty of unknowns in the new era of college football, we know this for sure:  If fewer than four teams go undefeated this season, the programs that finish with one loss will fight over the remaining playoff spots.

This makes the one-loss season almost as valuable as running the tables, and it means that if you haven’t lost more than one game yet, you’re still in the mix.

On the flip side, if you lose again, earning the dreaded, dastardly second loss, you really are just playing for a decent bowl game.

Here’s a look at teams with the biggest risk—because of a weakness on the field or a tough upcoming schedule—of suffering a “something-and-2” mark this season. 

Begin Slideshow

Auburn vs. Kansas State: TV Info, Spread, Injury Updates, Game Time and More

If No. 5 Auburn is to make the College Football Playoff, the journey officially starts at No. 20 Kansas State Thursday.

One of the week's lone matchups between Top 25 teams and one that comes under a national microscope kicks off a brutal path for Gus Malzahn's Tigers. For the Wildcats, the visit offers not only the biggest game ever played at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, but a chance to build an impeccable playoff resume.

Thanks to a pair of talented, versatile offenses, this showdown figures to be a high point of the week, as intended. Whether the Big 12 or SEC emerges in a better position for the playoff is a tough guess based on the matchup at hand.


Keeping Pace

As most unfortunately realized too late last season, Malzahn's offense has a way of controlling the pace of the game no matter what the opposition attempts to do about it.

In a way, Kansas State can do much of the same.

The Wildcats have dual-threat senior Jake Waters under center to thank for that. Through two games, he has led the team in passing and rushing, going for 223 passing yards and 55 rushing yards with four total scores against SF Austin before 239 through the air and 138 on the ground with two scores against Iowa State.

"It's rare, but Jake's a rare quarterback," running back Charles Jones said, per STATS LLC, via ESPN.com. "He's excellent in running and passing, and I saw that when he first came here. I saw how well he runs and just how good of a passer he is. To a lot of people it might be a surprise, but to us, we expect him to do stuff like that."

While Auburn is no stranger to running threats under center, the team has yet to encounter a talent like Waters. Last year, the only teams able to beat the Wildcats held him to 50 rushing yards or fewer.

Of course, Auburn signal-caller Nick Marshall is a bit more well-known thanks to his role as the leader of last year's improbable run while rushing for more than 1,000 yards and completing nearly 60 percent of his passes for 1,976 yards and 14 scores through the air.

But keep in mind that the Wildcats are more than accustomed to dances with prolific offenses thanks to their status as a member of the Big 12.

It equates to a war of strengths in which an additional emphasis will be placed on the turnover battle. Whichever team gives way in that regard will be forced to give up its preferred approach and surrender a stranglehold on the game's pace in order to catch up.

For two senior quarterbacks, it can very much be chalked up to a game of chess.


The Path Less Traveled

It is difficult to find two teams with a more difficult path to the playoff, a journey that coincidentally begins Thursday night.

Why Thursday? Auburn athletics director Jay Jacobs wanted the world—including the College Football Playoff selection committee—to be paying close attention.

"The other thing, too, is it’s on Thursday night, so everybody in the nation will be watching," he said, per ESPN.com's Greg Ostendorf. "We didn’t have a competitive disadvantage whatsoever—us or Kansas State—and it put Auburn versus Kansas State on Thursday night, ESPN."

Capture their imagination now, because the road ahead is littered with mines.

The Wildcats still have to take on No. 4 Oklahoma, No. 25 Oklahoma State and No. 7 Baylor, the highest ranks of those being away contests. Visits to TCU and West Virginia are no laughing matters, either.

Ditto for the Tigers, a team that encounters schools such as No. 8 LSU, No. 14 South Carolina, No. 10 Mississippi, No. 6 Texas A&M and No. 13 Georgia before a trip to take on No. 3 Alabama to close the season.

It is critical for both teams to get off to a hot start as they get into the teeth of their respective schedules. The wherewithal to even book Thursday's showdown knowing full and well the conference responsibilities that lie ahead speaks volumes as to how competitive each program is.

For one, the gamble creates perhaps a playoff-ending loss.


When: Thursday, September 18, 7:30 p.m. ET

Where: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, Kansas

Television: ESPN

Live Stream: WatchESPN

Betting Lines (via Odds Shark):

  • Over/Under: N/A
  • Spread: Auburn (-6.5)


Team Injury Reports

Injury reports via USA Today.



While both sides agreed to have this showdown in Manhattan, and the Wildcats are 130-31-1 at home since 1990, the favorite seems to be the safe way to go with this one.

Both teams enter the game coming off a bye, and for Auburn, that means another week of Marshall getting his feet back under him before he takes on an inexperienced Wildcats secondary that allowed a minimum of 200 passing yards in each of their first two games against mediocre competition.

Expect to see Marshall get back to his 2013 form when it comes to the passing attack. Auburn's prowess on the ground will open things up, and as long as the Tigers can keep the turnovers down, the offense will eventually wear down an iffy defense and pile on the yardage and points.

Prediction: Tigers 38, Wildcats 24


Statistics and info courtesy of ESPN unless otherwise specified.


Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

Wisconsin vs. Bowling Green Complete Game Preview

In a clash of styles, the Wisconsin Badgers face off against the Bowling Green Falcons in a nonconference tilt.  The Badgers are coming off a bye week, while the Falcons are riding high after a thrilling victory over the Indiana Hoosiers in Bloomington, 45-42.

Both teams have to feel pretty good about where they stand right now, all things considered, though both face mounting injury issues.  Bowling Green lost starting quarterback Matt Johnson for the season with a hip injury, while the Badgers have lost a number of players including defensive tackle/end Warren Herring, fullback Derek Watt and running back Taiwan Deal until at least the start of Big Ten play.

For the Badgers, a win here would help boost the standing of the Big Ten as a whole, which has taken a beating over the past two weeks, including a litany of blowouts and losses to teams in and outside of the power five.  For Bowling Green, a win would be their second in as many weeks against Big Ten foes.

Let's take a closer look at each team's keys to victory, whom to watch and a prediction for the game.

Begin Slideshow

Michigan Wolverines vs. Utah Utes Complete Game Preview

Michigan is 2-1 after defeating Miami (Ohio) last week 34-10. Fans were dismayed by three second-quarter miscues that left the teams tied 10-10 before the Wolverines put the game away in the second half.

This week, Michigan faces Pac-12 opponent Utah—a team that is averaging 57.5 points per game. The Utes (2-0) are coming off a 5-7 campaign but lost three of those games by seven points or fewer. The highlight of last season was a 27-21 upset of No. 5 Stanford.

If Michigan has another second-quarter meltdown, Utah’s prolific offense will make them pay. The Utes won't be intimidated by playing at Michigan Stadium, having won 25-23 during their last visit in 2008.

Last week, Michigan got the ground game rolling (276 yards), with running back Derrick Green (22 carries for 137 yards with two touchdowns) leading the way as the offensive line finally began to open holes. Hoke would like to slow down Utah’s high-tempo offense by riding the ground game to victory, while Utah coach Kyle Whittingham wants to strike quickly and often, mixing the run and the pass.

Date: Saturday, September 20, 2014

Time: 3:30 p.m. EDT

Place: Michigan Stadium (109,901), Ann Arbor, Mich.

Series vs. Utah: Michigan and Utah are tied (1-1)

Television: ABC

Radio: Michigan Sports Network, Sirius (113), XM (195)

Spread: Michigan by 6.5 via Odds Shark

Live Stats: MGoBlue.com GameTracker

Last Meeting vs. Utah: 2008, Utah 25, Michigan 23

The Rich Rodriguez era began with a 25-23 loss to Utah at Michigan Stadium. Michigan trailed 25-10 at the beginning of the fourth quarter but scored 13 points to make final score close. The loss marked the second straight year that Michigan lost its home opener and set the tone for the team’s 3-9 finish.


*Information according to University of Michigan Wolverine Football game notes.

Begin Slideshow

Pac-12 Football: Ranking the Pac-12 Quarterbacks Through 3 Weeks

Before the 2014 season began, the national love for the Pac-12 revolved around the conference's incredible group of quarterbacks, which ranks among the best at any point in league history.

There's the headlining act of Marcus Mariota and Brett Hundley, but when the main course is followed with players like Taylor Kelly, Sean Mannion, Kevin Hogan and Cody Kessler, you know you have something special.

Rounding out the group are gunslingers Jared Goff and Connor Halliday, a healthy and dangerous Travis Wilson and promising youngsters Anu Solomon, Cyler Miles and Sefo Liufau.

Through three weeks of the season, the group has impressed, but how would you rank them?

Keep in mind that most teams have played just three games, and some only two. There isn't a single starting quarterback who has played straight-up bad football, either, and even those on the lower half of our list have put up solid numbers.

This will become a lot less subjective when certain teams pile up more wins and quarterbacks begin to separate statistically.

In fact, many of the league's quarterbacks have yet to face a difficult opponent, further complicating the process. For now, though, we'll go off what we've seen so far.

Based solely on the play thus far in the 2014 season, here's how we would rank the 12 starting quarterbacks in the Pac-12.


All stats via CFBStats.com. Remember, this is based on this season alone and prior reputation. NFL draft prospects or future potential have no weight in the rankings.

Begin Slideshow

Pac-12 Football: Ranking the Pac-12 Quarterbacks Through 3 Weeks

Before the 2014 season began, the national love for the Pac -12 revolved around the conference's incredible group of quarterbacks, which ranks among the best at any point in league history...

Begin Slideshow

Biggest Questions Texas Faces After a Losing Non-Conference Record in 2014

The honeymoon is over for Texas head coach Charlie Strong. But according to the coach, he is not sure if he ever had that luxury.

"Did I ever have one? No, when you're at a program with a lot of passion, pride and tradition, that's what you expect," Strong said of the "honeymoon" phase of his new job. "We're not going to coach any different. We're going to continue on. It's a process, and we know this. It's going to take a while, but the fact is we have what we have, and we have enough to get it done."

Strong was very clear about his expectations prior to the season, but his words may have fallen on deaf ears.

The Longhorns' leader said his team was not going to be a national title contender in his first year at Texas.

The statement was honest and fair.

And Texas fans who believed otherwise were setting themselves up for disappointment.

The Longhorns are three games into the season. It is still unclear who this team is and what it can be with Strong at the helm.

It's obvious there are a significant number of issues Texas is facing as it prepares for conference play. 

In an effort to not write a novel about all of the problems, here are four important questions the Longhorns need to answer before the start of the Big 12 schedule.


1. What is the identity of the offense?

The Longhorns entered the season with expectations of running a ground-and-pound style of offense with running backs Malcolm Brown and Johnathan Gray.

The offensive line plays a major role in the success or failure of the running attack. After three games, the ground game has not been very successful.

The Longhorns have played the last two games without veteran center Dominic Espinosa (ankle) and offensive tackles Kennedy Estelle and Desmond Harrison (suspensions).

The loss of those three players left Texas with a very inexperienced line that has struggled to establish the line of scrimmage. 

Strong has not determined when Estelle and Harrison will return to the team, but if this offense wants to enter Big 12 play with a run-heavy attack, it will need more help from the offensive line.

Otherwise, the coaches may need to reconsider the amount of emphasis placed on the running game and allow quarterback Tyrone Swoopes to show what he can do in the passing game.


2. Should Malcolm Brown receive the majority of the carries?

It's time to address the elephant in the room. Gray does not possess the same amount of talent he had in his first two seasons at Texas.

The junior suffered a torn Achilles tendon last November. He sat out of spring ball and then claimed he was "95 percent" healthy heading into fall camp.

But his production on the field makes you wonder if he is playing at less than 95 percent.

To be fair, the offensive line's inability to open up holes for the ground game plays a role in Gray's lackluster numbers. But it is not entirely the line's fault.

Gray has not shown the same burst or wiggle ability he had in previous seasons.

Chris Wesseling of NFL.com questioned if a torn Achilles is a "death sentence" for NFL running backs. Wesseling reported "no running back ever has recaptured sustained pre-injury form after rupturing an Achilles tendon." 

Could Gray be experiencing this alleged effect of a torn Achilles? Maybe, but only blaming the injury for his production may be misguided.

What is known is Brown's production on the field has continued, even without the help of the offensive line. And he offers a big advantage that Gray has not consistently displayed: ability to gain yards after contact.

Considering the inexperienced line and the less-than-impressive offensive numbers, one has to wonder if the coaches should stop splitting reps between the two running backs and simply give Brown the majority of the carries.

It's apparent that both backs have struggled to get in a rhythm, partially because the offense has struggled to stay on the field and extend drives.

The Longhorns need to allow one running back to get in a rhythm to make an impact. And throughout the first three games, Brown appears to be the most consistent option.


3. Who are the leaders?

When adversity strikes, it's up to the coaches and players to step up and lead the team.

The Longhorns have faced a lot of adversity early in the season, but what players are standing tall and telling the team it's time to bounce back from the misfortune?

Strong challenged his team, specifically seniors, to take charge of the locker room.

But it doesn't appear to be working.

Texas' 41-7 loss to BYU was the worst home loss since 1997. And this happened following last season's humiliating performance against the Cougars, which ultimately led to the demise of former head coach Mack Brown.

How could the team allow that to happen twice? And where were the leaders?

Strong did not have an answer to either of those questions. In fact, he said the coaches took last season's loss more personal than the players, even though the staff was not on campus in 2013.

"I said to our football team, with this coaching staff not being here last year, we're taking this game more personal than you are," Strong said. "It shows how much further we have to come with our leadership, and we have to get guys to lead this football team. The seniors need to take ownership."

Leadership is not a characteristic that can be taught. It has to come naturally.

Are there any natural-born leaders on the roster? Sure, but when those leaders will make an impact is unknown.

It needs to happen soon if Texas is going to compete in conference play.


4. Can the Longhorns rebound following the 1-2 start?

Starting the season with a losing record is not a foreign concept for the Longhorns. Texas had two non-conference losses in 2013 but bounced back and won six consecutive games against Big 12 opponents.

The same needs to happen this season.

Texas has a bye this week and will then head to Lawrence to take on Kansas on Sept. 27.

The Longhorns should be able take down the Jayhawks, but the following weeks will not be a breeze.

Two of the toughest opponents on the schedule are No. 7 Baylor and No. 4 Oklahoma. Texas will face those teams in back-to-back weeks. 

Can the Longhorns upset the Bears and Sooners? Of course it can happen.

Is it likely to occur? Probably not.

Texas has to make significant changes over the next two weeks if it wants to avoid having a losing record in the first half of the season, which has not happened since 1993.

"We have to go out and compete each and every week and play our best," Strong said Monday. "It doesn't matter who the opponent is. It's about our focus and preparation. There are only so many opportunities that we are given, so we cannot waste another opportunity."


Unless otherwise noted, all quotes were obtained firsthand.

Taylor Gaspar is Bleacher Report's featured columnist covering the Texas Longhorns. Follow Taylor on Twitter: @Taylor_Gaspar.

Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

Buckeyes Head into Bye Week Looking to Fix Issues to Make a Run at Big Ten Title

With confidence rising, the last thing the Buckeyes need is a week off.  Getting more reps is the only way to gain meaningful experience.  Since Ohio State can’t change its schedule, it needs to make the most of its bye week.

Here are four ways they can improve over the next ten days:


Starting Fast

The Buckeyes started slowly against Navy and Virginia Tech, scoring just a total of 10 points in the first half of both of these games.  The Buckeyes were much more efficient against Kent State last Saturday, but let’s not kid ourselves.

The Golden Flashes are a lousy team.  Racking up 66 points against a glorified practice squad is nice, but taking anything away from this game other than a win would be foolish.    

Even with the personnel losses, the offense looked completely out of sync during long stretches against the Hokies and Midshipmen.  Whether the problem was dropping passes, missing blocking assignments, poor communication, turnovers or inefficiency on third down, the ineptitude has been shocking.

Head coach Urban Meyer has to find a way to get the team into a rhythm more quickly. The upcoming schedule is hardly overwhelming, but the team can ill afford to continue starting in a hole if it wants to win the Big Ten.


Pick a Starting Running Back

After three games last year, the offense had 856 yards rushing.  This year it has 708 yards.  Having two good backs is definitely a luxury, but finding a clear-cut starter would help the offense become more consistent.  

Ezekiel Elliott is the quasi-starter, but he and Curtis Samuel are fairly even right now.  Elliott has rushed for 141 yards and two touchdowns and Samuel has rushed for 176 yards with two touchdowns.  It is time to get one of them the bulk of the carries. 

Maybe Elliott’s wrist injury is still affecting him, but Samuel seems to have the edge. The offense has more energy when Samuel is in the game.  He is averaging 6.66 yards per carry which means a lot to a team struggling with third-down conversions. He can help move the chains. 

The effectiveness of Meyer’s offense is largely dependent on the quarterback(s) and running backs being in sync. Rotating Samuel and Elliott might keep both of them fresh, but it seems more important to get quarterback J.T Barrett and the offensive line comfortable working with a single running back.


Special Teams

If the offense looked bad against Virginia Tech, the special teams were even worse.  Among the miscues were two missed field goals, a 24-yard punt, several penalties and a kickoff that drifted out of bounds.  It was an abysmal night for this unit.

On the season, Cameron Johnston is averaging 41.6 yards per punt, so it is easy to forgive the botched kick against the Hokies.  It is concerning, however, that the unit is allowing 10.67 yards per return, up from the 8.1 yards per return from last season.

With his speed, Dontre Wilson should be the Buckeyes difference-maker, especially in open space.  So far, the results have been mixed.  He has been decent on kickoff returns, averaging 22.6 yards per return, but just ordinary on punt returns, averaging 9.2 yards per return.  Big returns are momentum builders and the offense needs all the help it can get right now.  It is time for him to step up.   

Freshman Jalin Marshall returned two punts for 66 yards against Kent State. Meyer is looking for ways to get the ball in the hands of his young, skilled players. It would be smart to give Marshall the job full-time and let Wilson focus on returning kickoffs.

The missed field goals against Virginia Tech were painful, but freshman Sean Nuernberger needs more time to develop into a consistent kicker.  Meyer is not known for settling for field goals, but he may have to stomach some growing pains to get the kid some experience.  There will be moments later in the season when Meyer will need Nuernberger to deliver. 

Meyer has his handprints all over special teams.  Expect him to get the problems fixed over the next couple of weeks.


Solidifying the Offensive Line

Confidence for Ohio State was low after being annihilated by Virginia Tech, so it was nice to see an improved performance by the Buckeyes offensive line against Kent State.  Progress is likely to be slow throughout the season. Fortunately, there is time to build this unit into a cohesive group before seeing a Virginia Tech-like defense again.

Meyer was on the money when he told Doug Lesmerises of Northeast Ohio Media Group recently that he is not worried about facing bear zero every week. “I don’t know if people have the personnel,” he said.  “I know one of them does.”

The line has eight weeks to unify and raise its level of play to win at Michigan State.  There will be significant challenges along the way, but the Spartans are the only team that can execute that type of pressure. 

Now that his starting five are in place, it is time for offensive line coach Ed Warinner to work his magic.  Over the next two weeks, expect him to challenge the guys to correct the mistakes from the first few games.  He can’t fix all the holes overnight, but even a slight improvement should be enough to get a win over Cincinnati on Sept 27. 



There is hope that the offense turned a small corner against Kent State.  If it did, this team will start to make tremendous strides in the coming weeks.  Coupled with a vastly improved defense, the Buckeyes have a legitimate shot at running the table.  That will make Buckeye Nation happy once again. 

Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

Georgia Tech vs. Virginia Tech: Complete Game Preview

What a difference a week makes for the Virginia Tech Hokies. Coming off one of the biggest wins in recent school history at then-No. 8 Ohio State, the Hokies found themselves ranked and hosting a tough East Carolina squad.

The Hokies defense was asleep at the wheel throughout the first half, and quarterback Michael Brewer looked nothing like the cool customer he was the two weeks before. And Tech suffered a heartbreaking home loss to the Pirates.

Now, Virginia Tech must regroup to face Georgia Tech in the ACC opener for both teams this Saturday in Blacksburg.

The Yellow Jackets enter this weekend's matchup at 3-0; however, with wins over Wofford, Tulane and Georgia Southern, it isn't as if they've been challenged yet. 

The two schools have been rivals since Tech entered the ACC in 2004. The ACC Championship Game, which began in 2005, has featured either the Yellow Jackets or Hokies representing the Coastal Division in all but one year—2013. 

While Georgia Tech has the second-most appearances in the ACC title game from a team representing the Coastal, it hasn't exactly been an even series. Virginia Tech is 8-3 all-time versus Georgia Tech, including an 8-2 record since the Hokies entered the ACC.

VT has won the last four meetings. 

  • When: Saturday, Sept. 20, 2014
  • Where: Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, Virginia
  • Time: Noon ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: Virginia Tech IMG Sports Network. Here is a complete list of stations by area.
  • Spread: The Hokies are currently eight-point favorites, according to OddsShark.com 

Begin Slideshow

Arkansas State Player Plays Dead During Fake Punt, Gets Lit Up

This Arkansas State fake punt against Miami from Saturday will leave you wondering what you just saw.

Facing a 4th-and-5 from the Miami 40-yard line, the Red Wolves tried to catch the Hurricanes by surprise with a fake punt. Not only did the Red Wolves send a man in motion, but when the ball was snapped, one of their receivers decided to "put 'em in a coffin."

Once the receiver got up, he promptly got sent right back down.

Arkansas State punter Luke Ferguson's pass was intercepted by Miami's Raphael Kirby, so it's safe to say that this play didn't go as planned.

[Vine, h/t Twitter]

Read more College Football news on BleacherReport.com

College Football Rankings 2014: Power Ranking All 128 Teams for Week 4

Great slate or not, one thing is certain with each week of college football action: It's going to wreak havoc on rankings.

The Bleacher Report power rankings have gone through another seismic shift thanks to several unexpected results; only the top few spots are unaltered from the week before. And with a few matchups on the books this weekend pitting highly ranked teams, further shuffling is expected.

Our power rankings are comprised of an average of five ratings: The Associated Press media and Amway coaches polls, Bleacher Report's Top 25, ratings guru Jeff Sagarin's computer ledger and my personal ranking.

Take a look at how the 128 FBS teams are ranked as we move into Week 4 and then let us know your thoughts in the comments section.

Begin Slideshow

Oregon Ducks vs. Washington State Cougars Complete Game Preview

The Oregon Ducks (3-0) finished off their nonconference schedule against Wyoming last Saturday with a solid 48-14 victory.

Now the real season begins. 

The Ducks will hit the road to open Pac-12 conference play against the Washington State Cougars in Pullman, Washington. The Cougars (1-2) opened the season with losses to Rutgers and Nevada before thoroughly destroying Portland State and setting a Pac-12 record for passing yards in a single game with 630 yards. 

The last time these two teams met the Cougars threw for 557 yards in a 62-38 loss at Autzen Stadium. You may remember Washington State quarterback Connor Halliday threw the ball a total of 89 times in that game, establishing a new NCAA record in the process. On the night, Halliday was 58-of-89 for 557 yards and four touchdowns. He also threw four interceptions. 

While Halliday may not throw 89 times again this weekend, expect the Cougars and head coach Mike Leach to throw the kitchen sink at the Ducks. 

It might not be close, but it's going to be entertaining. 

Here's what you need to know:  

Date: Saturday, Sept. 20th

Time: 7:30 p.m. Pacific Time

Place: Martin Stadium (Pullman, Wash.)


Spread: Oregon -23.5, according to OddsShark.com.

Begin Slideshow

Oregon Ducks vs. Washington State Cougars Complete Game Preview

The Oregon Ducks (3-0) finished off their nonconference schedule against Wyoming last Saturday with a solid 48-14 victory. Now the real season begins...

Begin Slideshow