NCAA Football News

Fiesta Bowl 2014: Keys for Each Team in Boise State vs. Arizona

Although most of the attention during the college football season was directed toward the playoff race, two under-the-radar teams will get a chance to prove what they can do at the Fiesta Bowl.

Arizona earned one of the best wins of the year by defeating Oregon, but the next time the Wildcats had a turn in the spotlight, they were blown out in the Pac-12 Championship Game. Still, with plenty of young talent on the roster, fans better start taking note of this up-and-coming squad.

On the other hand, Boise State ended the year as the best non-Power Five conference team in the nation, but it took most of the year for the team to finally get the respect it deserved.

With a great offense and some serious star power, though, it will be hard not to notice the Broncos in this game.

One of these teams will be able to earn a marquee win to end the year and a lot of momentum heading into next season. However, only one can win, and it will be the one that best follows these keys to victory.

 

Arizona

Control the Clock

When Arizona is playing well, it is moving the football on the ground behind Nick Wilson and controlling the pace of the game. Even before Wilson took over as the primary back, he and Terris Jones-Grigsby combined for 207 rushing yards and three touchdowns in the win over Oregon.

The Ducks were limited to just 26 minutes and 28 seconds of possession in their only loss of the season.

This was clearly not the case in the Pac-12 Championship Game, as Arizona had the ball for just over 21 minutes in a 51-13 loss. The team ran just 61 plays compared to 94 for Oregon.

Jerry Palm of CBS Sports joked about this problem during the game:

Arizona dealt with the same problem in the 17-7 loss to UCLA. Meanwhile, USC was able to steal a win against the Wildcats when Anu Solomon threw the ball 72 times.

The team is at its best when it runs the ball as much as possible. Wilson is coming off a terrible outing, but he had 396 rushing yards and six touchdowns in the two games prior.

If he is successful, the team will be able to score offensively and keep Boise State's No. 9 scoring offense off the field.

 

Slow Down the Run

Stopping the run will be almost impossible. Jay Ajayi is one of the most underrated players in college football, ranking fourth in the nation with 1,689 rushing yards and second with 25 touchdowns.

Boise State offensive coordinator Mike Sanford had a lot of praise for the junior running back:

Meanwhile, Arizona ranks just 72nd in the country against the run, a number that was clearly inflated by allowing 301 rushing yards to Oregon.

The good news is the Wildcats do have the ability to at least slow down the Broncos on the ground. Scooby Wright can cover most of the field on defense—he just needs the defensive line to hold its ground in the trenches.

If Boise State is limited in the running game, Arizona should be able to pull out a close win.

 

Boise State

Avoid Interceptions

Each of Boise State's losses had a similar theme: bad turnovers.

Senior quarterback Grant Hedrick had five interceptions all of last season and five more this year in the 11 wins. On the other hand, he had a total of eight picks in losses to Ole Miss and Air Force.

Hedrick has been extremely accurate this season, as noted by Blue Turf of Rivals.com:

The problem is sometimes his decision-making leaves much to be desired. Against a more athletic team than he is used to facing, this could be an issue.

If he cannot hold on to the ball and gives Arizona more opportunities to score, Boise State will be in trouble.

 

Get off the Field on 3rd Downs

Arizona has a quality offense and is at its best when it can move the ball down the field and continue extended drives. Of course, this has not been the case in the losses this season.

In the team's three losses this season, the squad is just 20-of-57 on third downs for a mark of 35.1 percent. Over the course of a full year, this would rank 103rd in the country.

This plays right into Boise State's hands with the team currently ranking 22nd in the country in defensive stops on third down, according to NCAA.com.

There are few things worse for a defense than making good plays on first and second down, only to allow the opponent to keep the drive going with a third-down conversion. The Broncos have to do their best to get the opposing offense off the field to get the ball back to Hedrick and Ajayi as quickly as possible.

 

Follow Rob Goldberg on Twitter for the latest breaking news and analysis.

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Top 5 Heisman Moments of 2014

As the play unfolds, you cannot help but think it: If this guy wins the Heisman Trophy, this is going to be the play that does it.

The term "Heisman moment" gets used a lot when describing big plays at key moments, but sometimes, it really does apply to the situation. This season has had plenty of these moments—and not just for the three finalists headed to New York for this year's award ceremony.

Here's our list of the five best Heisman moments of 2014. Think differently? Give us your take in the comments section.

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B/R CFB 250: Top 13 Interior Linemen

Bleacher Report's CFB 250 is an annual ranking of the best players in college football, regardless of NFL potential. Brian Leigh and Kynon Codrington have studied, ranked and graded the top athletes in the country, narrowed that list down to a mere 250 and sorted by position. Today, we present the Top 13 Interior Offensive Linemen.

It's easy to ignore the offensive line.

And on the rare occasion that the line gets mentioned, it's easy, still, to ignore the interior players for the tackles.

But a good pair of guards and a center is invaluable to an offense. The best "big uglies" relish their role in the trenches, enjoy getting dirty at the line. Earlier this season, Bleacher Report's Michael Felder said Mississippi State guard Ben Beckwith "looks like he smells terrible" and likened him to "a pig that loves the slop."

Each of those was meant as a compliment.

So is the life of an interior offensive lineman.

Before we start, please take note that these players were graded as college linemen, not on how they project as NFL linemen.

Targeted skills such as power are important at both levels, but there is a difference between college power and professional power. If a lineman can drive defenders backward in the SEC or the Big 12, it doesn't matter that he can't drive defenders backward in the NFC North. At least not here, it doesn't.

This is all about college performance. 

 

Note: If two players finished with the same grade, a subjective call was made based on whom we would rather have on our team right now.

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Heisman Watch 2014: Updated Predictions for Race's Leaders

People often debate the meaning of "valuable" when handing out MVP awards, but that type of debate is crystal clear when compared to the criteria for the Heisman Trophy.  Performance and statistics obviously come first, but sometimes it seems as though the storylines and tradition have as much to do with determining the winner as anything within the control of the players.

Because of this, the media's take often heavily shapes the voting process.  Numerous people have suggested that Marcus Mariota has separated himself as the clear favorite, but that does not mean that college football fans should approach the ceremony with a feeling of inevitability.  

The narrative has yet to reach a consensus on fellow finalists Melvin Gordon and Amari Cooper, suggesting that there is still room for the race's hierarchy to change.

Breaking down the credentials of the three finalists, let's predict their likely current standing while also analyzing how that position might change.

 

Third: Amari Cooper

Alabama's junior receiver has established himself as arguably the nation's most explosive threat.  Cooper's 115 receptions and 1,656 receiving yards both led the country, while only Colorado State's Rashard Higgins topped Cooper's 14 touchdowns.  As such, it's hardly surprising that Cooper ended up taking home some form of postseason hardware:

Simply because of positional prejudice, it seems as though Cooper currently stands a close third.  However, playing in the nation's deepest conference, he put up what was easily the best statistical season by an SEC receiver over the last five years. 

Therefore, when comparing Cooper to the previous baseline of fellow receivers in his conference, he has exceeded the standard more than either Gordon or Mariota.  Whereas Wisconsin and Oregon essentially mass produce massive offensive numbers, Cooper's ascendance was arguably the primary reason for the Crimson Tide's sudden transformation into an explosive offense.

But a full-time wide receiver has not won the Heisman since Tim Brown in 1987, as even Desmond Howard had his punt return game to boost his candidacy in 1991.  It's astounding that the position has not broken through given how offense has evolved, but Cooper is as deserving a candidate as any in this drought that has now exceeded two decades.

 

Second: Melvin Gordon

The Heisman voting process remains the one safeguard for running backs.  In the 26 seasons since Brown last won the Heisman, six running backs have won the award, excluding Reggie Bush's vacated 2005 victory.  Though the marginalization of the running game has just kicked in recently, the likes of Andre Williams and Trent Richardson have still made serious runs within the past three years.

However, Gordon is the one running back in the country who deserves exemption from that prevailing truth.  We just referenced how Cooper's season has been historic by SEC standards, and while the Big 10 has not provided its typical level of competition, Gordon is still having one of the greatest rushing campaigns in FBS history:

Unlike seasons past, there was no two- or three-headed monster in the Wisconsin backfield.  No other Badgers back reached 1,000 yards, and though sophomore Corey Clement has shown promise, Gordon still received 309 rushing attempts, the second most in the country.  His 26 rushing touchdowns also led the nation, and no other running back from a Power Five conference eclipsed Gordon's 7.6 yards-per-carry average.

Indeed, it's simply unfair to claim that Gordon is another byproduct of the Badgers system, as his season far surpassed anything in the program's recent history.  As much as Cooper deserves credit for changing the long-standing identity of Alabama's offense, Gordon gets the nod for raising the bar at a school that already represented the vanguard of rushing offense.

 

First: Marcus Mariota

Putting Mariota first is certainly not a rejection of Cooper or Gordon, who have posted two of the best offensive skill-position seasons in recent FBS history.  However, as Grantland's Matt Borcas illuminates, perhaps the most impressive aspect of Mariota's campaign has been the fact that he has somehow fulfilled the seemingly limitless preseason hype: 

In truth, the only strange thing about Mariota’s regular season is that it went almost exactly according to plan. Even the one slip-up — Oregon’s31-24 October loss to Arizona, in which Mariota performed rather unremarkably — is moot after Friday’s 51-13 shellacking of those same Wildcats in the Pac-12 championship game, which cemented Oregon’s spot in the College Football Playoff. That mulligan made Mariota’s Heisman candidacy nearly unimpeachable, leaving the only real drama as whether he’ll break Troy Smith’s record for first-place votes, which stands at 86 percent. If he does, he’ll have earned it.

With a stunning 38-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio, Mariota posted the fourth-highest quarterback rating since the turn of the century, according to Sports-Reference.com.  Statistically, his season is almost exactly on par with the winning campaign Jameis Winston turned in last season, except with fewer turnovers:

Quite simply, Mariota has put up an equally historic season as Cooper or Gordon while also stabilizing an Oregon team that was teetering amid injuries midseason.  Considering that the Ducks are now arguably the favorite to win the inaugural playoff, Mariota deserves recognition for being the clear-cut best quarterback in the nation this season.

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Rose Bowl 2015: Keys to Victory in Oregon vs. FSU Clash

The Rose Bowl may traditionally be a matchup between the Big Ten champion and the Pac-12 champion, but nobody is complaining about the showdown in the 2015 version.

The Oregon Ducks and runaway Heisman Trophy favorite Marcus Mariota will take on the defending national champion Florida State Seminoles and last season’s Heisman winner, Jameis Winston. 

There are sure to be offensive fireworks with two of the nation’s best quarterbacks and offenses taking the field. Here are some of the keys to victory that will help determine which team advances to the national title game.

 

Turnovers

Not only is Oregon’s offense third in the country in points per game, but it simply doesn’t turn the ball over.

The Ducks coughed it up a measly eight times this entire season, which is all the more impressive when their style of play is factored into the conversation. Oregon’s uptempo, no-huddle attack means it runs more plays than a typical offense, which would theoretically give it more chances to turn it over.

That has not been the case.

Florida State, on the other hand, turned the ball over 27 times, which is an abysmal 116th in the country. To make matters worse for the Seminoles, the Oregon defense forced more turnovers than all but seven defenses in the country, so this key seems to suggest good things for the Ducks.

The reason so many of Florida State’s games against inferior competition were so close this season was those early turnovers. Winston threw 17 interceptions, which ultimately cost him a spot in New York as a potential Heisman Trophy finalist and kept the likes of Louisville and Florida in their games against Florida State well into the fourth quarter.

Winston discussed his interceptions earlier in the season, according to The Associated Press (via ESPN.com): “I'm hurting this team, I really am. Make smarter decisions, stop always looking for the big play. I stressed about checking the ball down and making smart decisions, and I've got to go back to that. I can't be careless with the ball."

Mariota, on the other hand, only threw two interceptions the entire season. That is simply ridiculous, considering many of the other better quarterbacks in the country threw that many or more in a single game this season. 

The bottom line is Oregon is far too talented of an opponent to give extra chances with turnovers. The Seminoles have to clean up their sloppy play because Oregon will make them pay much more severely than Florida, Boston College, Louisville, Virginia and Clemson did.

 

Clock-Controlling Rushing Attacks

The Rose Bowl features two powerful quarterbacks who lead two of the most dynamic offenses in the country.

The best way to stop Winston and especially Mariota is by keeping them on the sideline. This is particularly important for Florida State because the fast pace of Oregon’s offense will dictate the tempo and wear out the Seminoles defense. If Florida State’s offense can move the ball on the ground and keep the chains and clock going, it will give the defense a much-needed breather.

Dalvin Cook has emerged into a superstar in the Florida State backfield and has 392 yards in his last two games. Karlos Williams can also serve as the thunder to Cook’s lightning against an Oregon defense that was only 57th in the nation against the run.

On the other side, though, Mariota and running back Royce Freeman should exploit a Seminoles defense that just allowed 331 rushing yards to Georgia Tech the last time out. The Yellow Jackets may confuse opponents with misdirection, but from a pure speed, athleticism and tempo perspective, Oregon should put up monumental numbers by comparison.

The Ducks are 22nd in rushing yards per game and Florida State is 104th, so this key may favor the Ducks on paper; however, an effective running game early from the Seminoles would help set up their 14th-ranked passing attack for big plays later in the game against a vulnerable Oregon secondary.

 

Florida State’s Defensive Line vs. Oregon’s Offensive Line

Oregon doesn’t have many weaknesses on offense, but it did give up 29 sacks this season. Sure, that was partially due to injuries earlier in the season, but Bleacher Report’s Matt Miller and Trent Smallwood of Rivals were not impressed during the blowout win over Arizona in the Pac-12 title game:

That could be a problem for the Ducks against Eddie Goldman, Mario Edwards and the rest of the Florida State defensive line.

They both bring incredible size and athleticism to the table and could bully their way up-front against Oregon’s offensive line. While this is a completely different Oregon team than in the past, college football fans have seen former Ducks squads lose to more physical opponents up-front that simply overwhelmed the line. 

Florida State’s best chance at stopping Oregon’s dynamic offense is by exploiting that offensive front. The question now is whether it can execute the plan.

 

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Sugar Bowl 2015: Keys to Victory in Ohio State vs. Alabama Clash

Urban Meyer vs. Nick Saban. The North vs. the South. The Ohio State brand vs. the Alabama brand. The Buckeyes’ spread offense vs. the Crimson Tide’s powerful defense.

The storylines for the 2015 Sugar Bowl practically write themselves. When Ohio State and Alabama take the field on Jan. 1 in New Orleans after the Rose Bowl is finished, there will only be three teams remaining with national championship aspirations. 

Here are some keys to victory that will ultimately determine who is still standing when that number becomes two.

 

Youth Movement

Ohio State has 24 players listed as starters for either the offense, defense or special teams, and 13 of them are freshmen or sophomores, per Ben Axelrod of Bleacher Report. The fact that Meyer already has this squad that is so clearly built for next year in college football’s version of the Final Four is astounding, especially since the Buckeyes are down to their third-string quarterback.

Ohio State is ahead of schedule, which portends well for the future, but this is by far the brightest stage the players will compete on in their young college careers. The closest thing we have seen to a dynasty in years in college football will be standing on the opposite sideline behind the current king of college football, Mr. Saban.

Ohio State cannot be intimidated.

It is not that difficult to imagine a scenario where nerves and youthful mistakes would get the most of the Buckeyes on such a big stage. If a couple of things go poorly in the early going, be it a costly interception from Cardale Jones in just his second career start or a 60-yard touchdown catch from superhuman Amari Cooper, the game could snowball in the wrong direction for the Buckeyes.

Fans will likely remember that exact scenario happening against Meyer’s Florida team in the 2006 season’s national championship game.

Of course, the youth movement at Ohio State could also set up a passing-of-the-torch narrative if the team is able to avoid those mistakes and come away with the upset victory. The Buckeyes could very well be No. 1 in the country next season, regardless of what happens in these playoffs, with all that talented youth, and Alabama could hand over its king-of-college-football torch if things go Ohio State’s way in New Orleans. 

The only way the Buckeyes can win this game is if they avoid being caught up in the moment and committing critical mistakes.

 

Containing Amari Cooper 

Erick Smith of USA Today had an interesting take on Ohio State’s defense going into the matchup with Alabama:

One reason for that is cornerback Doran Grant. He tallied two picks against Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game and also held Michigan State’s game-breaking receiver, Tony Lippett, to 64 receiving yards and zero touchdowns in Ohio State’s most important win of the regular season.

Grant may be talented, but the only football players skilled enough to stop Heisman Trophy finalist Amari Cooper one-on-one play on Sundays. It will take a team effort from the likes of Grant, safety Vonn Bell and the rest of the secondary to contain Alabama’s go-to guy in the passing game.

Auburn was in control of the Iron Bowl until the Cooper show took over. He ended up with 224 receiving yards and three touchdown catches in that one and finished the season with 1,656 receiving yards and 14 touchdown catches. Alabama’s second-leading receiver was DeAndrew White, who only finished with 439 receiving yards and four touchdowns.

Crimson Tide offensive lineman Austin Shepherd put it rather bluntly when discussing Cooper, via John Zenor of The Associated Press: “I’d have the whole defense on him.”

The Crimson Tide rely more on Cooper than perhaps any team in the country relies on a single wide receiver. The Buckeyes aren’t going to completely stop him (nobody can), but if they prevent him from going off for monumental numbers, it can turn Alabama’s offense much more one-dimensional. That will allow Joey Bosa, Michael Bennett and the Ohio State linebackers to focus on containing running backs T.J. Yeldon and Derrick Henry. 

Ohio State is 17th in the country in passing yards allowed per game and finished fourth in the country with 21 interceptions. It is capable of containing Cooper if it plays its best game of the year. It will be needed in New Orleans.

 

Force Cardale Jones to Win the Game

The Buckeyes put on a show in the Big Ten Championship Game with 59 points, and Jones received the game’s MVP award. While he certainly deserved recognition, especially since it was his first career start, that distinction overlooked Ezekiel Elliott, who torched the Badgers for 220 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

Elliott’s early 81-yard touchdown run against the Badgers opened up the entire field later in the game for Jones because Wisconsin started to press up on the line of scrimmage. Jones took advantage of the openings with a number of deep strikes to Devin Smith and company.

Alabama is going to have to stop Ohio State’s rushing attack, which is 11th in the nation, without devoting extra defenders to the box. That will make it much more difficult for Jones to read the field, and he won’t be able to simply rely on chucking it deep in single coverage to Smith. 

Alabama’s defense is fourth in the country in points allowed per game and gave up a measly 2.81 yards per carry on the season, per CFBStats.com. If there is a defense that is perfectly set up to stop Elliott on the run and Jalin Marshall on the dump passes behind the line of scrimmage, it is Alabama’s.

The Crimson Tide’s best route to victory is by taking away the running game and forcing the young Jones to make veteran-type plays all game.

 

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College Football Playoff Championship 2015: Odds and Predictions for Semifinals

There are varied opinions on the College Football Playoff field, but it's hard to deny the fact that the committee created two exciting matchups in the semifinals.

With Alabama, Oregon, Florida State and Ohio State, fans can watch four top programs with coaches who know what they're doing and plenty of elite players ready to make an impact in the NFL before too long. Although fans of TCU and Baylor are not happy with the outcome, the rest of the country should be excited.

The big question now is which two teams can survive and advance to play for the national championship. Although any squad is capable of surprises, here are predictions for the two semifinals both straight up and against the spread, courtesy of Odds Shark.

 

Rose Bowl: Oregon (-9.5) vs. Florida State

Oregon fans might be the happiest people in the new playoff situation because the Ducks would likely be the odd man out in the BCS days. This would almost be a travesty based on the way they have been playing lately.

Since losing to Arizona, Oregon has won eight games in a row while scoring at least 40 points per game in each. The latest win came against the Wildcats in the Pac-12 Championship Game, avenging the only loss in the year.

Dan Wetzel of Yahoo Sports notes how dominant the squad has been:

This overall play puts the Ducks in the best position to win a title, according to ESPN Stats and Info:

Of course, this will not be the blowout many are expecting. While Florida State struggled in many of its recent games, it always found a way to come out on top while extending its winning streak to 29 games.

Jameis Winston has had an up-and-down year, but he looked as good as ever with three touchdowns and no interceptions in the ACC Championship Game win over Georgia Tech. Jalen Ramsey—who will be extremely important defensively with his ability to cover the majority of the field—is not scared of anyone:

With the talent on the roster and the mental strength to win games in any situation over the past two years, the Seminoles will at least keep this game close enough to cover the spread.

Still, Oregon is just too dynamic offensively behind Marcus Mariota with Royce Freeman and Byron Marshall also making big plays. This will be enough to come through with a win in a high-scoring battle.

Prediction: Oregon 45, Florida State 38

 

Sugar Bowl: Alabama (-9) vs. Ohio State

Everyone who has followed college football over the past few years can't be surprised to see Alabama ranked No. 1 in the country, but Ohio State coach Urban Meyer summed up this year's team:

The Crimson Tide are known for their running ability, which is as strong as ever behind T.J. Yeldon and Derrick Henry. However, the difference is the expanded passing game with Blake Sims throwing the ball to Heisman candidate Amari Cooper.

If you used to be bored watching Alabama, that is no longer the case.

At the same time, Meyer's thoughts about the Tide defense are right on as well. Safety Landon Collins leads a tough group that ranks fourth in the nation with just 16.6 points allowed per game.

This will create quite a challenge for Cardale Jones, who is making his second career start in this game after the injury to J.T. Barrett. As Bleacher Report's Adam Lefkoe noted, the Buckeyes were just as dominant with the backup quarterback under center:

The problem is that Alabama has the big men up front capable of slowing down Ezekiel Elliott, who is the real key to Ohio State's offense. A lack of a run game will put a lot more pressure on Jones to make plays, which is likely to cause problems for such an inexperienced player.

Nick Saban's team has played and beaten some of the best teams in the nation, and the Buckeyes will be the next victim on the list.

Prediction: Alabama 27, Ohio State 14

 

Follow Rob Goldberg on Twitter for the latest breaking news and analysis.

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ESPN 30 for 30 The U Part 2: TV Schedule and Documentary Preview

When ESPN released the 30 for 30 film The U in 2009, an in-depth look at the rise of the University of Miami football program in the 1980s, it became one of the most popular documentaries in company history.

Now, The U Part 2 becomes the first 30 for 30 sequel. For college football fans, this should be one of the most entertaining episodes of the series to date.

Here is all the vital viewing information for The U Part 2 and a preview of the documentary.

 

When: Saturday, December 13

Start Time: 9 p.m. ET

Watch: ESPN

Live Stream:WatchESPN.com

 

Breaking Down The U Part 2

Led by director Billy Coben, director of the first edition of The U, the second part of the series picks up where the first part left off. The focus of The U was on the University of Miami trying to overcome the sanctions and the scandals that rocked the program in the '80s, and The U Part 2 takes fans through the controversies and the success the school faced in the 1990s and the 2000s.

The original episode of the series talked about the program’s rise to prominence and how it all came crashing down. The U Part 2 is a showcase of how the school overcame further adversity to once again win a national championship in 2001.

Just as it did before, the documentary chronicles the return of controversy as it reared its ugly head again and rocked the program to its core, especially the involvement of booster Nevin Shapiro and the chaos he caused with the NCAA.

While Coben was critical of the school in the first part of the documentary, the former University of Miami student made it clear in an interview with Matt Porter of the Palm Beach Post that the second installment in the series will be just as candid and open:

It seems big-time college football has passed the University of Miami by. [UM] is not interested in investing in the billion-dollar college football business. They are content with their current margins. They are content to provide the minimal investment that they’re willing to make, for the revenue that that yields. That’s not a criticism. If you’re interested in hospitals and education – that’s just a question of priorities.

It has not ever been a football school … No one thought Howard Schellenberger could do it. No one thought Jimmy Johnson and Dennis Erickson and Butch Davis and Larry Coker could do it.

These are tough words from an alumnus of the school, but it is clear that Coben just wants the best for his former university. The documentary starts with the reign of head coach Butch Davis and the pay-for-play scandal that engulfed the program due to previous coach Dennis Erickson.

Davis will play a major role in the episode via interviews, but he is not the only former Hurricane to join the documentary. Some other top names involved include Jonathan Vilma, Phillip Buchanon, Santana Moss, Ed Reed, Clinton Portis, Jeremy Shockey, Antrel Rolle, Bryant McKinnie and many more former players and coaches, according to Porter.

Another major focus of the episode is on Shapiro and the controversy that surrounded the program when the NCAA discovered he was giving impermissible benefits to student athletes from 2002 to 2010.

Coben brings it home by talking about the current state of the program and the hope that learning from the past will help the University of Miami avoid making the same mistakes again. Another hope form the piece is that the school will once again become a major threat in the sport of college football.

After the success of the first edition of The U, The U Part 2 should be an incredible showcase of one of the most recognizable schools in the United States.

 

All episode information via ESPN.com.

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Bowl Games 2014-15: Full Schedule, Predictions for Selection Committee Matchups

The question that every college football fan waited for all season is finally answered. We know exactly who's in, but the controversy went all the way down to the wire on Selection Sunday.

Alabama, Oregon, Florida State and Ohio State all survived arduous seasons to simply make the College Football Playoff. Now, all four illustrious programs will do battle for the right to make it to the national championship game.

Meanwhile, the teams that missed out on the playoff still have notable bowls to make a statement. Baylor and TCU can exact revenge against the Big Ten and SEC, respectively, while Boise State gets another chance at magic in the Fiesta Bowl.

Prior to the second season getting underway, here's a look at the top matchups, predictions and a breakdown of the playoff.

 

Analyzing the Playoff Bracket

The new playoff system left a lot of suspense, but the fans have nearly three more weeks to overanalyze every facet of the semifinals.

One of the biggest matchups will be coming in the Rose Bowl with Marcus Mariota and Jameis Winston facing off. Obviously both will play against the opposing defense, but having two future NFL quarterbacks going toe to toe will make for a fun battle.

FSU coach Jimbo Fisher passed along his take on the matchup, via Marty Smith of ESPN:

Oregon's offense has been special all year behind Mariota and Royce Freeman, but the defense will have its hands full with Florida State. Winston hasn't always been at his best, but he can stage comebacks—partially due to Dalvin Cook.

Luckily for the Ducks, their defense appeared to be playing its best football late in the season. In fact, Stewart Mandel of Fox Sports notes just how strong the unit was against Arizona in the Pac-12 championship:

Back on the east coast, two of the most storied programs will fight in the Sugar Bowl.

Along with the name value of Alabama vs. Ohio State, the coaches also have a bit of history. Nick Saban and Urban Meyer have a combined five national titles between them—Saban has a 3-2 advantage in that department. They've also faced each other three times—Saban has a 2-1 lead there, as well.

Needless to say, Saban has had Meyer's number in recent seasons. However, the Crimson Tide coach has no idea what he's going up against on New Year's Day when his team faces backup quarterback Cardale Jones. He spoke about facing the new OSU signal-caller, via Adam Rittenberg of ESPN.com:

Jones looked great against Wisconsin with three passing touchdowns to go along with Ezekiel Elliott's 220 rushing yards and two scores. However, he'll be facing a much more difficult defense that ranks fourth in the country in points allowed at 16.6 per game.

Coupling with that defense, the Tide also feature a ridiculous athlete in Amari Cooper. The receiver earned an invite to the Heisman presentation thanks to his outstanding play. ESPN Stats & Info points out his record-breaking statistics this year:

Both bowls promise to be potentially the best games of the year after an already wild season. It's never easy to predict exactly how the bowls will shake out, but Oregon and Alabama look like the class of the playoff and should face off during the final game of the season.

 

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Michigan Football: Should Wolverines Look to the NFL for Their Next Coach?

Nebraska and Florida have filled coaching vacancies even as Wisconsin gears up for its own search. A high-stakes game of musical chairs is underway as coaches move, creating a domino effect in their wake.

But the challenge facing Michigan’s next coach is extraordinary, and few collegiate coaches are prepared for what they'd find in Ann Arbor.

Michigan needs to look to the pro ranks for its next head coach.

A coach with pro experience would be undaunted by the prospects of battling Ohio State and resurgent in-state rival Michigan State. An NFL coach would be experienced with the media scrutiny that comes with a job like Michigan and have instant credibility with recruits and alumni.

There are probably dozens of coaches who could manage the football part of coaching the Wolverines, but the failure of former coaches Brady Hoke and Rich Rodriguez have put the Michigan football program in peril.

New university president Mark Schlissel has been critical of "sports stuff" and complained the search for new athletic director was a "time sink," per The Michigan Daily.

He eventually chose Jim Hackett as interim athletic director. Hackett is a former business leader known for reorganizing his former company while downsizing more than 12,000 workers.

Hackett seems to be the remedy for an athletic department that grew substantially under former athletic director David Brandon.

The Michigan athletic department runs on the revenue generated by the football program, and the golden goose is barely keeping up.

The Wolverines need more than just a solid football coach, they need a rock star capable of dealing with the media and alumni while wowing recruits and assembling a top-notch staff of assistants.

The failure of Rich Rodriguez—who has found success at Arizona—proves that Michigan’s problems require more than just a qualified coach.

Michigan football is on the brink of irrelevancy.

The landscape of college football has changed—TV revenue has leveled the playing field. The traditional football powers are under assault, trapped between a growing demographic shift favoring southern schools and a revenue model that has increased viable competitors.

The Wolverines can’t risk another three- or four-year experiment that ends in failure. The program hasn't won a conference title since 2004; it lost to Big Ten newcomers Rutgers and Maryland this season.

Pro coaches typically cite compensation as the top reason to favor NFL over college football. Michigan needs to dig deep and pay a competitive salary to lure a top NFL coach to Ann Arbor.

"The head coach of Michigan football is one of the finest jobs in American sports today, and we will have great options [for a coach]," Hackett said when he fired Hoke. "The University of Michigan remains one of the top programs in the country."

The harsh reality is that Michigan has been coasting on fumes for the last seven years. Rodriguez and Hoke couldn't right the ship.

The next coach will face the same "win-now" mentality at Michigan that pro coaches face every day, so the Wolverines need to find the right NFL coach and convince him to come to Ann Arbor.

If not, all talk of Michigan's greatness will remain in past tense.

 

Phil Callihan is a featured writer for Bleacher Report. Unless otherwise noted, all quotations obtained firsthand

Follow @PCallihan

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LSU Football: 5 Bold Predictions for the Tigers' Bowl Game

LSU head coach Les Miles is ecstatic his team will face Notre Dame in the Music City Bowl.  

Miles had this to say, per James Moran of Tiger Rag:

It’s a very attractive television game and we recognize that Notre Dame is tremendously talented and pulls from a pool of players across the country. 

It’s a team that’s played in a national championship, and really we’re going to have to play well. We look forward to playing these guys. It’s a very talented team that’s well-coached and well-prepared.

Miles speaks highly of the Fighting Irish's talent, but their recent results tell a different story. Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly has seen his team lose its last four games, two of which were not competitive.     

LSU does not have too much to brag about either. Though the Tigers won their last contest against Texas A&M, they lost their two previous games against Arkansas and Alabama. 

Here are five bold predictions for the December 30 contest in Nashville, Tennessee. 

 

LSU Will Have a Competent Passing Attack

LSU's passing game has been terrible.

Quarterback Anthony Jennings has not eclipsed 200 passing yards in a game since the season opener against Wisconsin. He threw for under 100 in two of three games in November. 

But expect Jennings, or possibly true freshman Brandon Harris, to have a breakout game. 

The Fighting Irish have allowed over 239 yards passing per game, which is good for 86th in the country. It does bear mentioning, though, that the Irish played better against better competition, as three of the four ranked teams they faced were held under 240 yards passing. 

With that said, LSU's lead receiving duo of Travin Dural and Malachi Dupre are elite deep threats. There is no reason for them to not have effective performances against Notre Dame's porous secondary.

 

LSU Will Have at Least Three Sacks

LSU is not a great pass-rushing team.

The Tigers' total of 19 sacks is 13th in the SEC and 100th in the country. Yet they are due for a great game against Notre Dame. 

The Fighting Irish's pass protection has been inconsistent. The 28 sacks they have allowed is 86th in the country. Kelly watched his offense give up three or more sacks in four games this year.

Kelly has yet to make a decision at quarterback between the struggling Everett Golson and Malik Zaire, per Rachel Terlep of The Elkhart Truth. Either way, trying to decipher LSU defensive coordinator John Chavis' blitzing schemes is a tough task. 

The Tigers should have success getting after the quarterback, though Golson and Zaire are both mobile. 

 

Notre Dame Will Commit At Least Three Turnovers

Golson is an interception machine. He has thrown at least one in each of the last nine games. 

LSU's secondary will be the best he has faced this season. The Tigers have multiple playmakers who have superb ball skills, led by cornerback Tre'Davious White. 

Notre Dame has also coughed up 12 fumbles, which is 100th in the country. That alarming number should excite linebacker Kwon Alexander, who has a knack for stripping the football.

LSU's defense should have a big day.

 

Leonard Fournette Will Not Break LSU Freshman Record

Fournette needs 111 yards to break the freshman rushing record at LSU. It is certainly attainable, but unlikely. 

Notre Dame's rush defense has been at its best against Power Five competition. The Irish held Florida State to only 50 yards rushing.

Notre Dame linebacker Jaylon Smith was named a finalist for the Butkus Award in November, per JJ Stankevitz of CSNChicago.com. Though he did not win the award, his 103 tackles and 8.5 tackles for loss show he is tough to block. 

Kelly is going to load the box and make Jennings or Harris beat him through the air. This spells trouble for Fournette, who has struggled to break long runs this season. 

LSU's offensive line will be a tough matchup for Notre Dame, which is good news for Fournette. With that said, it is hard to run on a defense that is focused mostly on you. 

 

LSU Wins Big

LSU has too much talent for Notre Dame to handle. 

LSU's fantastic performance against Texas A&M should be a sign of things to come. Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron showed some new wrinkles in the offense to keep the Aggies off-balance. Expect more unpredictability with Cameron now that he has time to prepare.

Defensively, the Tigers' speed will give Notre Dame problems. Receivers Corey Robinson and William Fuller are gifted, but they have yet to see a secondary quite like LSU's. 

The Fighting Irish looked putrid to close the season. The uncertainty at quarterback makes the situation even worse. That alone should give little hope for even Notre Dame fans. 

The Tigers will win by at least two touchdowns. 

  

Stats, rankings and additional information provided by cfbstats.comESPN.com and LSU Sports Information. Recruiting information provided by 247Sports.

Quotes were obtained firsthand unless otherwise noted. Follow me on Twitter @CarterthePower.     

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Urban Meyer, Ohio State as Underdogs Should Worry Alabama

When No. 1 Alabama faces off against No. 4 Ohio State in the Sugar Bowl on New Year's Day, Nick Saban's Crimson Tide shouldn't have a problem rolling over Urban Meyer's Buckeyes.

At least, that's what Vegas is predicting.

Moments after the College Football Playoff selection committee announced their four semifinalists, Alabama was projected as a heavy nine-point favorite over Ohio State, according to Odds Shark. That will give Meyer and the Buckeyes three weeks to settle into their role as underdogs.

That should worry Saban and the Tide. 

The us-against-the-world mentality is a popular mantra for underdogs, but that particular motivational tactic has worked well for Meyer in the past. He's turned good teams that were slighted by media and oddsmakers into angry, unstoppable forces.

Ohio State fans became very aware of that in January 2007, when the Buckeyes faced a Meyer-led Florida team in the BCS national title game. With Heisman Trophy quarterback Troy Smith at the helm, unbeaten and top-ranked Ohio State was a 7.5-point favorite over the Gators.

Much of the pregame talk focused on the unblemished Buckeyes and whether Florida even deserved a shot. There were some, such as ESPN's Gene Wojciechowski, who thought Michigan deserved another shot at Ohio State over the Gators.

Florida eventually got the nod, but all the while, Meyer was keeping tabs on the detractors. He used the negativity to fuel his team, which went on to blast the Buckeyes in a 41-14 rout.

"I'd like to thank all those people," Meyer said to Florida's critics, according to Ben Walker of the Associated Press (via The Washington Post). "Our pregame speech was easy."

Now at Ohio State, Meyer has his team embracing that underdog role. The Buckeyes have been projected to lose four times in Meyer's three years in Columbus, according to Bill Livingston of The Plain DealerThey're a perfect 4-0 in those games.

Two of those wins came in tough spots for the Buckeyes this season. Ohio State hit the road for a prime-time matchup against Michigan State on November 8, looking to avenge last year's loss in the Big Ten title game. The Buckeyes did just that, piling up 568 total yards in a 49-37 victory over the favored Spartans.

The other happened last Saturday when Ohio State entered the conference title game as four-point underdogs to Wisconsin. Meyer perked up when he was told the Badgers were favored earlier in the week.

So did the Buckeyes.

Despite facing a Wisconsin team that boasted the nation's top rusher in Melvin Gordon and the second-ranked defense, Ohio State flexed their muscle in a 59-0 blowout victory. 

But the Buckeyes are facing longer odds against Alabama. Ohio State hasn't faced a favorite this big in three years, and Meyer knows his team will need to be at its best to come out with a victory.

“We have to be on point to beat this team,” Meyer said, according to Patrick Maks of Eleven Warriors. “I know how they recruit, I know the way they coach.”

But Saban and the Tide need to be aware of how dangerous this team can be as underdogs.

 

All stats via NCAA.com.

David Regimbal covers Ohio State football for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter @davidreg412.

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UCLA Football: Latest Recruiting Musings for the Bruins

Recruiting for Jim Mora and the UCLA football team is heating up considerably. 

As currently constituted, UCLA has 17 known commitments. According to Scout.com, the Bruins have the No. 7-ranked class in the country. Perhaps most impressively, UCLA's star average per commitment (3.94) is the best in the entire country. 

The staff truly has capitalized on the success of the past three years. The time in Westwood has allowed the staff to also foster relationships with not only high school coaches, but also with current sophomores, juniors and seniors. The victories over Southern Cal surely have resonated with local prospects as well. 

This piece will review the current climate when it comes to UCLA recruiting. It will look at visitors for this upcoming weekend and the latest commitment for the Bruins. 

 

Visitors for this upcoming weekend

The two most interesting official visitors this weekend both hail from the state of Texas. High school teammates Malik Jefferson and DeAndre McNeal will be in town, with the Bruins looking to make a considerable push for both. 

McNeal has the ability to play multiple positions on both sides of the ball. Should he opt to sign with UCLA, expect the 4-star athlete to initially play on the defensive side of the ball. However as we've seen with Mora, he won't be afraid to put in his players on both offense and defense. 

UCLA could simply opt to point out Myles Jack—which I'm sure has been brought to McNeal's attention—as a prime example of the versatility the Bruins have within their scheme from a personnel standpoint. 

Jefferson is the proverbial big fish this weekend. Rated as the No. 1 linebacker in the country by Scout.com, he's an absolute freak (in the most respectful sense of the word). Earlier this past July, Jefferson was timed at 4.39 running the 40-yard dash. That is outrageous for a prospect weighing in at 225 pounds. 

With Eric Kendricks headed to the NFL, there's a vacant spot within the linebacker corps. From UCLA's perspective, Jefferson would be an excellent fit. 

Speaking of Kendricks, there's a similarity between the two players. The UCLA linebacker was recently named as the Butkus Award winner, which signifies him as the best linebacker in all of college football. 

Ironically enough, Jefferson also won the Butkus Award as the nation's top high school 'backer. Not only did Jefferson congratulate Kendricks on his award over Twitter, but he also posted a picture of Kendricks' trophy during an in-home visit with the UCLA staff. 

One would have to assume this will have an impact on Jefferson's recruitment. Another interesting wrinkle is the timing of this official visit. 

Jefferson pushed back the UCLA official visit—making it his last visit before he makes his collegiate decision on Dec. 19. He is an early enrollee and will enroll at whichever college he chooses in January. 

The NCAA dead period also begins on Dec. 14. This means college coaches cannot contact high school prospects until the period ends on Jan. 14.

In other words, UCLA will be the last college to "get in Jefferson's ear" before he makes his decision the following week. An impactful visit could go a long way in swaying Jefferson's decision. Additionally, his entire family will be making the trip out with him to California. 

Although Texas and Texas A&M figure to be stiff competition for his services, the timing of the visit is fascinating. The amount of Texas players on the UCLA roster also could help from a familiarity standpoint. 

 

A new commitment

UCLA's most recent commitment comes in the form of Scout.com 4-star defensive back Colin Samuel. The Long Beach Poly High School product chose the Bruins over offers from Michigan, Oklahoma and Mississippi State, among others. 

The commitment fills an area of need for the Bruins. Depth at corner isn't overly great, and landing a player from a football factory such as Poly is always a positive. 

Samuel is the new-age corner in today's game. At 6'2", he's got extremely long arms and tremendous overall length. Not only that, but he's also got hips enabling him to turn in coverage and run down the field. 

He does need to get physically bigger and stronger (most likely requiring a redshirt year), but the potential is there for him to be a very talented player down the line. If he continues to grow, look for him to transition to the safety position. 

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Marcus Mariota Wins 2014 Maxwell Award

Heisman Trophy favorite Marcus Mariota has already started accumulating the hardware this week, as the star Oregon quarterback was awarded the Maxwell Award and several other honors on Thursday night. 

That put him in some pretty good company, as SportsCenter on Twitter noted:

Mariota's haul should hardly come as a surprise, as the electrifying quarterback finished the year with 3,783 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns, a paltry two interceptions, 669 rushing yards and an additional 14 touchdowns on the ground.

As ESPN Stats & Information noted, he also led the nation in a few very important areas:

He led Oregon to a 12-1 record this season, a Pac-12 title and was the main reason the Ducks scored 46.3 points per game, third in the nation. 

Frankly, it would be a pretty huge surprise if Mariota didn't cap off a week of awards with the Heisman Trophy. Alabama wide receiver Amari Cooper and Wisconsin running back Melvin Gordon are also in the running, though Mariota is the prohibitive favorite after his stellar season.

 

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College Football Awards 2014: Results, Winners and Twitter Reaction

On Saturday, Marcus Mariota is widely expected to become the first Heisman Trophy winner in Oregon Ducks history. Thursday night's College Football Awards Show proved to be a prelude to the "Season of Mariota."

The junior quarterback walked away from the ceremony, broadcast on ESPN from the Walt Disney World Resort, with the Maxwell Award for most outstanding player, the Walter Camp Award for national player of the year and the Davey O'Brien Award for best college quarterback. 

Mariota bested Wisconsin running back Melvin Gordon and Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott for the Maxwell and Prescott and TCU's Trevone Boykin for the Davey O'Brien.

Mariota's trophies come in addition to the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm he claimed on Monday and should serve as a prelude to Saturday's Heisman presentation. Mariota finished the 2014 regular season with one of the most efficient campaigns in college football history. He threw for 3,783 yards and 38 touchdowns against two interceptions, adding 669 yards and 14 scores on the ground.

Over the past three seasons, Mariota has totaled 131 touchdowns and 23 turnovers. Oregon has gone a combined 35-4 in that timespan, including a 12-1 mark in 2014 that earned the Ducks the No. 2 seed in the College Football Playoff.

”When he was a freshman, I remarked, 'This kid’s going to win the Heisman,'" Philadelphia Eagles head coach Chip Kelly, who recruited Mariota to Oregon, told Phil Sheridan of ESPN.com. “He’s a special young man. He’s a hell of a football player and he deserves it. He’s a special player. He’s got a gift for playing football. He can throw the ball, he can run. He’s the most talented kid that I coached in college." 

Mariota is the first player in Oregon history to win either the Maxwell or Davey O'Brien Award.

While they're unlikely to stop Mariota's reign Saturday, his Heisman competitors didn't walk away empty-handed. Gordon became the second Wisconsin running back in the last three years to take home the Doak Walker Award, given to the nation's top rusher. Montee Ball won the award in 2012. Wisconsin's three trophies match the all-time record that was previously held by Texas.

Gordon, who this week announced he'd be entering the 2015 NFL draft on The Dan Patrick Show (h/t ESPN), rushed for a nation-high 2,336 yards and 26 touchdowns. His yardage total is the fourth-highest in FBS history, and Gordon set a single-game record with 408 yards in a game against Nebraska. (Samaje Perine of Oklahoma broke the record a week later.)

Nebraska's Ameer Abdullah and Indiana's Tevin Coleman were also nominated for the Doak Walker Award. Coleman, perhaps the nation's most underrated player, was the only other 2,000-yard rusher this season. Like Gordon in the Heisman race, Coleman's historic season has been overshadowed by a more historic one from a high-profile player.

As for Amari Cooper's Biletnikoff Award win, you'll be hard-pressed to find anyone who feels he was undeserving. The Alabama star led the nation in receptions (115), yards (1,656) and finished behind only co-finalist Rashard Higgins in touchdown receptions (14).

At times this season, Cooper was tasked with being a one-man offense for the Tide, and he came up huge when the team needed him most. Cooper made a combined 25 receptions in playoff-clinching victories over Auburn and Missouri to close the regular season and set an SEC Championship Game record for grabs (12).

"It feels great," Cooper said, per Matt Murschel of the Orlando Sentinel. "I feel real honored and I feel real blessed."

Elsewhere on the offensive side, Iowa tackle Brandon Scherff took home the Outland Trophy for outstanding interior lineman. The Big Ten Lineman of the Year defeated Texas defensive tackle Malcom Brown and Auburn center Reese Dismukes.

Defensively, the Pac-12's big night continued when Arizona's Scooby Wright earned the Chuck Bednarik Award for the nation's top defensive player. Wright accrued 153 total tackles (89 solo) with 14 sacks and six forced fumbles, earning nearly every national plaudit along the way. He became the first sophomore in Pac-12 history to win the Defensive Player of the Year Award and was named Lombardi Award winner earlier this week.

"Coming out of high school I didn't really have too many colleges knocking on my door—actually nobody really wanted me except Arizona," Wright, a lightly touted recruit, told The Associated Press (via NCAA.com). "So I always have that little chip on my shoulder. You always remember those people who didn't think you were good enough. It still motivates me to this day."

Wright is Arizona's first Bednarik winner and the second in history to attend a Pac-12 school. 

Largely absent from Thursday night's proceedings, the ACC got a boost when Louisville's Gerod Holliman was honored with the Jim Thorpe Award. Holliman bested Alabama safety Landon Collins and Oregon cornerback Ifo Ekpre-Olomu to be named the top defensive back in the country.

The redshirt sophomore matched an NCAA record with 14 interceptions and made 37 tackles. NFL.com's Bucky Brooks has likened Holliman to a young Ed Reed.

"It is amazing," Louisville coach Bobby Petrino told reporters. "He's had a great year for us. There's always other people that play into it. That record is his, but every one of those defensive linemen, linebackers and other guys with the tight coverage have a little piece of it, too."

While many expected Florida State kicker Roberto Aguayo to give the ACC its second award as the Lou Groza Award winner, Maryland's Brad Craddock won in a bit of a surprise. Craddock made 18 of 19 field goals and all 41 of his extra points.

Utah's Tom Hackett capped off the special teams trophies by winning the Ray Guy Award for the nation's best punter. TCU coach Gary Patterson, who led the Horned Frogs to a 11-1 regular season, was named the Home Depot Coach of the Year.

 

Follow Tyler Conway (@tylerconway22) on Twitter.

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Las Vegas Bowl Betting: Utah Utes vs. Colorado State Rams Odds, Analysis & Pick

After a two-year absence, Utah is back in a bowl, where it's had great success over recent seasons, winning 10 of its last 11 postseason bouts and going 8-3 against the spread. The Utes hope to continue their good bowl fortunes when they meet former conference rival Colorado State in the 23rd edition of the Las Vegas Bowl Saturday, December 20, at Sam Boyd Stadium.

 

Las Vegas Bowl point spread: Utes opened as four-point favorites; the total was 58. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 38.3-30.4 Rams

 

Why the Utes can cover the spread

The Utes went 8-4 both straight up and ATS this season, and they picked up some nice victories along the way. Back in September, they won at Michigan, and while the Wolverines were not exactly contenders this season, winning at the Big House is still a tough task.

Later, Utah won back-to-back Pac-12 road games at UCLA and at Oregon State, beat USC and won at Stanford. And its only conference road loss came in overtime at Arizona State. On the season, the Utes averaged 198 yards per game through the air and 176 on the ground, and they held foes to 158 yards per game rushing.

 

Why the Rams can cover the spread

The Rams went 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS this season, making a bowl for the second straight year. CSU started 1-1, with a victory over rival Colorado and a loss to Boise State. Then it won nine games in a row, beating, among others, Boston College and Nevada, going 7-2 ATS during that run.

The Rams then lost their season finale to Air Force 27-24 on a field goal at the buzzer, even though they outgained the Falcons by 100 yards. Colorado State ranks 12th in the country in total offense, averaging 498 yards per game, and while the defense had its problems, it also held seven of 12 opponents to 22 points or less.

 

Smart pick

This is a tough one, because while Colorado State put up better numbers than Utah this season, the Utes played a much tougher schedule. And the Rams will be playing without head coach Jim McElwain, who left the team to take over the head job at Florida.

So the smart choice in this spot is with Utah, minus the points.

 

Trends

  • Utah is 5-0 SU in its last five games when playing Colorado State
  • The total has gone over in four of Colorado State's last five games

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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New Mexico Bowl Betting: Texas El Paso Miners vs. Utah State Aggies Odds, Pick

The New Mexico Bowl is always one of the first bowls played each bowl season, which might be one of the reasons the last six New Mexico Bowls have all played over on the totals; perhaps offenses are still clicking, following the regular season, instead of getting stale during a long break.

So might we expect a high-scoring affair when 9-4 Utah State and 7-5 UTEP meet in the ninth edition of the New Mexico Bowl Saturday, December 20, in Albuquerque?

 

New Mexico Bowl point spread: Aggies opened as 11-point favorites; the total was 49. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 30.4-24.0 Aggies

 

Why the Miners can cover the spread

After eight straight losing seasons, the Miners went 7-5 this season, reaching a bowl for the first time since 2010. UTEP started 2-3 this year, then went 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS from there, ending with a 24-21 victory over Middle Tennessee.

It also finished as one of the best teams in college football to bet on this season, going 9-3 ATS. The Miners averaged 215 yards per game on the ground, and their defense held four of their last six opponents to 21 points or less.

UTEP was dogged by nine or more points six times this season; it went 4-2 ATS in those six contests.

 

Why the Aggies can cover the spread

The Aggies had been on a run of 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread until losing their season finale to Boise State 50-19, missing the cover as 10-point dogs. But before that, Utah State had won five in a row, by an average score of 32-13, even as it played through injuries to its top two quarterbacks.

On the season, the Aggies outrushed opponents by a 173-129 per-game margin, and the defense held 10 of 13 opponents to 21 points or less. In fact, going into the Boise State loss, USU had allowed just 45 points over its previous four games.

The Aggies are playing in a bowl for the fourth straight season; they're 2-1 both SU and ATS over their last three bowls.

 

Smart pick

Utah State put up better numbers on offense and on defense than UTEP this season, posted a better record and played a tougher schedule. So the smart money here resides with the Aggies, minus the points.

 

Trends

  • The total has gone under in five of Texas El Paso's last six games
  • Utah State is 5-1 SU in its last six games

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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New Orleans Bowl Betting: Nevada vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Odds, Analysis, Pick

Louisiana-Lafayette is 3-0 both straight up and against the spread in the New Orleans Bowl the last three seasons. Meanwhile, Nevada is 1-6 straight up over its last seven bowl appearances but 2-0 against the spread in its last two bowls. The 8-4 Ragin' Cajuns and 7-5 Wolf Pack meet in the 14th edition of the New Orleans Bowl Saturday, December 20 at the Superdome.

 

New Orleans Bowl point spread: Wolf Pack opened as one-point favorites; the total was 60.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 30.2-29.8 Wolf Pack

 

Why the Wolf Pack can cover the spread

After going 4-8 in Brian Polian's first season as head coach last year, the Pack used a three-game second-half winning streak this season to become bowl-eligible. Nevada then lost two in a row—one in overtime to Air Force—but ended the season on a high note, beating UNLV 49-27 and covering as a seven-point road favorite.

Nevada trailed in that game 17-7 and then went on a 42-3 run. And by the end the Wolf Pack had run the ball for 408 yards. Earlier in the season Nevada upset Washington State out of the Pac-12, lost by just a touchdown at eventual Pac-12 South champion Arizona, fell to Boise State by just five points and won at BYU.

So the Pack have put on some good performances against some decent teams this season.

 

Why the Ragin' Cajuns can cover the spread

After a 1-3 start to this season, the Cajuns won seven of their last eight games and went 5-1-1 against the spread over their last seven to make a bowl for the fourth straight season. UL-Lafayette finished its season with a 42-23 victory over Troy, covering as 10-point favorites.

The Cajuns trailed that game at halftime and then won the second half 21-0. On the season UL-Lafayette outrushed opponents by a 229-147 per-game average, as three Cajuns, led by running back Elijah McGuire, ran for more than 600 yards. And the UL-Lafayette defense, which had some problems earlier in the season, held three of its last five foes to 23 points or less.

 

Smart Pick

Nevada went 7-5 against the spread this season against a much tougher schedule than the one UL-Lafayette faced. And while the Pack gave Boise State a tough game, falling just 51-46, the Cajuns did not, losing to the Broncos 34-9. So despite UL-Lafayette's home-crowd advantage, the smart choice in this spot is Nevada.

 

Trends

  • The total has gone under in 14 of Nevada's last 18 games.
  • Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-1 straight up in its last eight games.

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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Chick-fIl-A Peach Bowl Betting: Mississippi Rebels vs. TCU Horned Frogs Odds

Two teams with much bigger goals heading into the final month of the season are relegated to the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl in Atlanta as the TCU Horned Frogs meet the Ole Miss Rebels.

The Horned Frogs did just about everything they could to make the four-team College Football Playoff field but dropped out of the No. 3 spot when the Florida State Seminoles and Ohio State Buckeyes both won their conference title games.

TCU is 7-0 straight up and 6-1 against the spread as a favorite this year.

 

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl point spread: Horned Frogs opened as three-point favorites; the total was 56.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 50.3-41.1 Horned Frogs

 

Why the Rebels can cover the spread

The Rebels have gone 9-1 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in their past 10 bowl games and faced arguably better competition throughout the year in the SEC than TCU played in the Big 12. Of course, their season was highlighted by a 23-17 home victory against the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide as 4.5-point underdogs, as they remain the only team to defeat the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff field.

Ole Miss also finished out the campaign with a 31-17 win over the Mississippi State Bulldogs as 2.5-point dogs in the Egg Bowl, proving that this team still has some gas left in the tank and can play well when motivated despite losing three of four games in conference play before that.

 

Why the Horned Frogs can cover the spread

The Horned Frogs can approach this game in one of two ways obviously: as a highly motivated team looking to prove it should have been in the College Football Playoff or as a disappointed squad simply looking to ride out the year and put in minimal effort against the Rebels.

The former is much more likely than the latter due to head coach Gary Patterson, who has prepared his players as well as anybody in the country. TCU has won six of its last eight bowl games and went 10-2 ATS in winning 11 of 12 games this season, with the lone loss this season coming on the road against the Baylor Bears.

The Horned Frogs fell to the Bears 61-58 but still covered as seven-point underdogs.

 

Smart pick

This is a classic matchup of a team that got snubbed in TCU playing against another from a superior conference. The problem is, Ole Miss sputtered down the stretch in SEC play and probably will not be able to keep up with the offensively gifted Horned Frogs, who have scored 30 points or more in every game this season.

The Rebels were able to get up for a matchup with rival Mississippi State in their last game, but trying to trade points with TCU could be the team’s most difficult challenge of the year. The Horned Frogs have proved that they can rack up points and cover against almost everybody on their schedule, and it would have been interesting to see how they fared in the College Football Playoff.

Instead, look for TCU to make one final statement here.

 

Trends

  • Mississippi is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
  • TCU is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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Orange Bowl Betting: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Mississippi State Odds, Pick

Two teams that fell just short of beating the champions in their respective conferences will play each other in the Orange Bowl, as the SEC’s Mississippi State Bulldogs take on the ACC’s Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.

Mississippi State dropped a 25-20 decision on the road against the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide but covered the spread as a nine-point underdog while Georgia Tech lost the ACC Championship Game to the defending national champion Florida State Seminoles 37-35 as a 3.5-point dog.

 

Orange Bowl point spread: Bulldogs opened as seven-point favorites; the total was 61.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 43.9-38.5 Bulldogs

 

Why the Yellow Jackets can cover the spread

Unlike Ole Miss, the Yellow Jackets finished the year strong outside of the narrow loss to Florida State. Before that, Georgia Tech had won five games in a row, and the team has still covered six straight heading into the Orange Bowl.

The Yellow Jackets even defeated another SEC team in the Georgia Bulldogs 30-24 in overtime as 10.5-point underdogs in their annual rivalry game before they played the Seminoles. It’s worth noting that the Orange Bowl has been a bit of a consolation when not hosting the national championship, resulting in underdogs going 8-3 against the spread in the past 11.

Georgia Tech is 4-0 ATS in its last four games as a dog, winning three of them.

 

Why the Bulldogs can cover the spread

The Bulldogs obviously did not finish the regular season like they started, dropping two of their last three games after winning their first nine and jumping to the top of the polls. But they suffered a major letdown following the loss to Alabama and knew it would be very difficult to overcome that setback and make the College Football Playoff field without the Crimson Tide losing again.

The 31-17 loss to Ole Miss as a 2.5-point favorite in the Egg Bowl may have been an extended part of that hangover for Mississippi State, but now this team has had plenty of time off to forget about it and move on. The Bulldogs have played tougher opponents all season and should be ready.

 

Smart pick

Mississippi State is definitely the more talented of the two teams and has played a lot better competition leading up to this game. The Bulldogs are also 6-3 straight up and versus the line in their past nine bowl games while the Yellow Jackets are just 2-8 SU in their last 10.

Georgia Tech is a well-coached team that was able to hang around against a Florida State squad that has struggled to stay motivated in trying to repeat as the national champion. But Mississippi State is also well-coached and was able to cover against a much better Alabama team that is the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff.

All of those factors point to the Bulldogs winning here and beating the spread.

 

Trends

  • Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last six games
  • Mississippi State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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